Sport Picks
Persebaya vs FC Bhayangkara
Indonesia
Super League Gelora Bung Tomo Stadium, Surabaya 
Match Events
26'
26'
Doumbia B.
Assist: Sidibe M.
28'
28'
Ichsan T.
30'
30'
Sadiki N.
AI Match Summary
FC Bhayangkara in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Bhayangkara.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Persebaya
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Persebaya average 2.88 goals a game right now, well clear of FC Bhayangkara's 2.13.
- Model gives Persebaya a 90% chance of winning this.
- Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Persebaya Clean Sheet 68%
FC Bhayangkara Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Persebaya | FC Bhayangkara |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 15 |
| Draws | 9 | 3 |
| Losses | 5 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.88 | 2.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.63 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.88 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.63 | 1.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 14, 2026 Super League
Persebaya vs FC Bhayangkara
1:2
Nov 28, 2025 Super League
FC Bhayangkara vs Persebaya
1:1
Feb 4, 2024 Super League
Persebaya vs FC Bhayangkara
1:0
Aug 8, 2023 Super League
FC Bhayangkara vs Persebaya
1:2
Jan 23, 2023 Super League
Persebaya vs FC Bhayangkara
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Persebaya Compare
Top Goalscorer Perovic M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.44
FC Bhayangkara Compare
Top Goalscorer Doumbia B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Sidibe M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Persebaya 95 / 100
FC Bhayangkara 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Persebaya FC Bhayangkara
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick PER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Persebaya's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Persebaya went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Defensive concern: FC Bhayangkara conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Persebaya VS FC Bhayangkara
2.88 Goals Scored 2.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Persebaya
(Home) 29 Jul
Persebaya
1 : 0 PSMS Medan
26 Jul
Persebaya
1 : 0 Persija Jakarta
19 Jul
Persebaya
2 : 2 PSIS Semarang
23 May
Persebaya
5 : 0 Persik Kediri
15 May
Semen Padang
0 : 7 Persebaya
Page 1 of 6
29 Jul
Persebaya
1 : 0 PSMS Medan
26 Jul
Persebaya
1 : 0 Persija Jakarta
19 Jul
Persebaya
2 : 2 PSIS Semarang
23 May
Persebaya
5 : 0 Persik Kediri
02 May
Persebaya
4 : 0 PSBS Biak Numfor
Page 1 of 4
FC Bhayangkara
(Away) 23 May
FC Bhayangkara
7 : 0 PSBS Biak Numfor
17 May
Bali United
4 : 1 FC Bhayangkara
11 May
FC Bhayangkara
3 : 1 Madura United
04 May
PSM Makassar
2 : 1 FC Bhayangkara
30 Apr
FC Bhayangkara
2 : 4 Persib Bandung
Page 1 of 6
17 May
Bali United
4 : 1 FC Bhayangkara
04 May
PSM Makassar
2 : 1 FC Bhayangkara
22 Apr
Persis Solo
2 : 1 FC Bhayangkara
11 Apr
Persijap Jepara
2 : 1 FC Bhayangkara
01 Mar
Dewa United
0 : 2 FC Bhayangkara
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Persib Bandung | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 59:22 | 79 |
| 2 | Borneo | 34 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 74:31 | 79 |
| 3 | Persija Jakarta | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 65:29 | 71 |
| 4 | Persebaya | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 61:35 | 58 |
| 5 | FC Bhayangkara | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 53:45 | 53 |
| 6 | Malut United | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 68:53 | 53 |
| 7 | Dewa United | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 44:37 | 53 |
| 8 | Bali United | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 57:48 | 51 |
| 9 | Arema FC | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 53:47 | 48 |
| 10 | Persita | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 38:37 | 45 |
| 11 | PSIM Yogyakarta | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 43:44 | 45 |
| 12 | Persik Kediri | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 42:61 | 39 |
| 13 | Persijap Jepara | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 31:45 | 36 |
| 14 | Madura United | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 37:54 | 35 |
| 15 | PSM Makassar | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 39:49 | 34 |
| 16 | Persis Solo | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 39:59 | 34 |
| 17 | Semen Padang | 34 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 22:65 | 20 |
| 18 | PSBS Biak Numfor | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 31:95 | 18 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)
