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Persebaya vs Garudayaksa Prediction & H2H Stats

Indonesia Indonesia

Super League Gelora Bung Tomo Stadium, Surabaya
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Match Events

38'
Setiawan A.
46'
Sub
Armiento C. In: Kaka A.
Out: Armiento C.
46'
Sub
Malik R. In: Ramdani S.
Out: Malik R.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Persebaya
35%
Draws
27%
Garudayaksa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Persebaya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Garudayaksa haven't matched Persebaya's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Persebaya a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Persebaya Clean Sheet 20%
Garudayaksa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Persebaya Garudayaksa
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 19 13
Draws 6 12
Losses 5 4
Goals Scored 1.83 1.66
Goals Conceded 0.9 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.96 0.85
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Super League
Persebaya vs Garudayaksa
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Persebaya Compare

Top Goalscorer Martins A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.51
Avg xA / game 0.98

Garudayaksa Compare

Top Goalscorer Hehanusa H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.47

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Persebaya 42 / 100
Garudayaksa 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Persebaya Garudayaksa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Persebaya found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (30 games).

Persebaya went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Garudayaksa conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Persebaya VS Garudayaksa
2.75 Goals Scored 1.33
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.17
63% Over 1.5 83%
63% Over 2.5 33%
50% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Persebaya

(Home)
19 Sept
Persebaya
1 : 1
Garudayaksa
13 Sept
Persebaya
1 : 0
PSIM Yogyakarta
05 Sept
FC Bhayangkara
1 : 1
Persebaya
15 Aug
Persebaya
1 : 0
Penang
06 Aug
Persib Bandung
1 : 2
Persebaya
Page 1 of 6

Garudayaksa

(Away)
19 Sept
Persebaya
1 : 1
Garudayaksa
11 Sept
Garudayaksa
0 : 2
Persik Kediri
06 Sept
Java United
1 : 1
Garudayaksa
09 May
PSS Sleman
2 : 3
Garudayaksa
02 May
Garudayaksa
3 : 1
Persikad Depok
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dewa United 4 3 1 0 8:4 10
2 Madura United 3 3 0 0 7:2 9
3 Persija Jakarta 3 3 0 0 4:1 9
4 Borneo 4 2 0 2 3:4 6
5 Persib Bandung 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
6 Bali United 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
7 Arema FC 3 1 2 0 8:4 5
8 FC Bhayangkara 3 1 2 0 5:3 5
9 Persita 3 1 2 0 6:5 5
10 Persebaya 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
11 Persik Kediri 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
12 PSM Makassar 3 0 2 1 6:8 2
13 Garudayaksa 3 0 2 1 2:4 2
14 PSIM Yogyakarta 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
15 PSS Sleman 3 0 0 3 3:7 0
16 Persijap Jepara 3 0 0 3 1:5 0
17 Java United 3 0 1 2 3:5 -1
18 Isenmulang Kalteng 3 0 0 3 1:10 -2
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Qualification)