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Persebaya vs Port MTI FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Indonesia Indonesia

President Cup Gelora Bung Tomo Stadium, Surabaya
Persebaya Logo

Persebaya

2 - 1
FT
Port MTI FC Logo

Port MTI FC

Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Al Sabhi I.
39' Event
Pereira M.
Assist: Ari K.
46'
Sub
Mabella Y. In: Martins A.
Out: Mabella Y.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Persebaya
20%
Draws
28%
Port MTI FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Persebaya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Persebaya have managed 1.83 goals a game lately — Port MTI FC are scoring more at 2.17.
  • Model gives Persebaya a 52% chance of winning this.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Persebaya, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Persebaya Clean Sheet 68%
Port MTI FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Persebaya Port MTI FC
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 18 18
Draws 6 5
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 1.83 2.17
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 President Cup
Persebaya vs Port MTI FC
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Persebaya Compare

Top Goalscorer Pereira M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sananta R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Port MTI FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Sabhi I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Persebaya 86 / 100
Port MTI FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Persebaya Port MTI FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Persebaya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Persebaya's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Solid form: Persebaya remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Port MTI FC conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Persebaya VS Port MTI FC
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
38% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Persebaya

(Home)
19 Sept
Persebaya
1 : 1
Garudayaksa
13 Sept
Persebaya
1 : 0
PSIM Yogyakarta
05 Sept
FC Bhayangkara
1 : 1
Persebaya
15 Aug
Persebaya
1 : 0
Penang
06 Aug
Persib Bandung
1 : 2
Persebaya
Page 1 of 6

Port MTI FC

(Away)
08 Oct
Port MTI FC
1 : 3
Persib Bandung
20 Sept
Sukhothai
2 : 1
Port MTI FC
16 Sept
Port MTI FC
1 : 2
Vissel Kobe
11 Sept
Port MTI FC
2 : 1
Lamphun Warrior
05 Sept
Rasisalai United
1 : 2
Port MTI FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persib Bandung 3 3 0 0 3:0 9
2 Arema FC 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
3 Tampines 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
4 DPMM 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
Promotion - President Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persebaya 3 3 0 0 4:1 9
2 Persija Jakarta 3 1 1 1 6:4 4
3 Port MTI FC 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
4 PSMS Medan 3 0 0 3 1:7 0
Promotion - President Cup (Play Offs)