Sport Picks
Persebaya vs PSIM Yogyakarta - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Indonesia
Super League Gelora Bung Tomo Stadium, Surabaya 
Match Events
22'
22'
Rudzan O.
37'
37'
Irianto R.
46'
46'
Sub
Mabella Y. In: Martins A.
Out: Mabella Y.
AI Match Summary
The Super League game between Persebaya and PSIM Yogyakarta finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Persebaya.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
30%
19%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Persebaya
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Persebaya come out ahead of PSIM Yogyakarta on wins alone.
- Model gives Persebaya a 51% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Persebaya here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Persebaya Clean Sheet 20%
PSIM Yogyakarta Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Persebaya | PSIM Yogyakarta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 19 | 7 |
| Draws | 6 | 10 |
| Losses | 5 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.83 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 13, 2026 Super League
Persebaya vs PSIM Yogyakarta
1:0
Jan 25, 2026 Super League
PSIM Yogyakarta vs Persebaya
0:3
Aug 8, 2025 Super League
Persebaya vs PSIM Yogyakarta
0:1
Jul 17, 2022 Club Friendly
Persebaya vs PSIM Yogyakarta
1:0
Aug 16, 2017 Championship
Persebaya vs PSIM Yogyakarta
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Persebaya Compare
Top Goalscorer Martins A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
PSIM Yogyakarta Compare
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Persebaya 85 / 100
PSIM Yogyakarta 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Persebaya PSIM Yogyakarta
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Persebaya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Persebaya scored in 93% of their last 30 outings.
Solid form: Persebaya remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
PSIM Yogyakarta's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.
H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Persebaya VS PSIM Yogyakarta
2.63 Goals Scored 0.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Persebaya
(Home) 19 Sept
Persebaya
1 : 1 Garudayaksa
13 Sept
Persebaya
1 : 0 PSIM Yogyakarta
05 Sept
FC Bhayangkara
1 : 1 Persebaya
15 Aug
Persebaya
1 : 0 Penang
06 Aug
Persib Bandung
1 : 2 Persebaya
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Persebaya
1 : 1 Garudayaksa
13 Sept
Persebaya
1 : 0 PSIM Yogyakarta
15 Aug
Persebaya
1 : 0 Penang
04 Aug
Persebaya
1 : 0 Arema FC
01 Aug
Persebaya
2 : 1 Port MTI FC
Page 1 of 4
PSIM Yogyakarta
(Away) 18 Sept
Madura United
2 : 1 PSIM Yogyakarta
13 Sept
Persebaya
1 : 0 PSIM Yogyakarta
05 Sept
PSIM Yogyakarta
1 : 1 Persita
22 May
Arema FC
3 : 1 PSIM Yogyakarta
17 May
PSIM Yogyakarta
2 : 1 Madura United
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Madura United
2 : 1 PSIM Yogyakarta
13 Sept
Persebaya
1 : 0 PSIM Yogyakarta
22 May
Arema FC
3 : 1 PSIM Yogyakarta
04 May
Persib Bandung
1 : 0 PSIM Yogyakarta
17 Apr
FC Bhayangkara
2 : 1 PSIM Yogyakarta
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dewa United | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:4 | 10 |
| 2 | Madura United | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | 9 |
| 3 | Persija Jakarta | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 9 |
| 4 | Persik Kediri | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:2 | 7 |
| 5 | Borneo | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | 6 |
| 6 | Persib Bandung | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 6 |
| 7 | Bali United | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 6 |
| 8 | Arema FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8:4 | 5 |
| 9 | FC Bhayangkara | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 5 |
| 10 | Persita | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:5 | 5 |
| 11 | Persebaya | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 5 |
| 12 | PSM Makassar | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6:8 | 2 |
| 13 | Garudayaksa | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | 2 |
| 14 | PSIM Yogyakarta | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | 1 |
| 15 | PSS Sleman | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:7 | 0 |
| 16 | Persijap Jepara | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:5 | 0 |
| 17 | Java United | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | -1 |
| 18 | Isenmulang Kalteng | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:10 | -2 |
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