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Persebaya vs PSS Sleman - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Indonesia Indonesia

Super League Gelora Bung Tomo Stadium, Surabaya
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
08:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Persebaya host PSS Sleman in the Super League. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Persebaya at 1.81 goals for, 0.87 against; PSS Sleman at 1.83 for, 0.93 against. Past meetings favor Persebaya slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 19, 2025, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 2.02 vs 0.85, favoring Persebaya. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

63%
Persebaya
20%
Draws
17%
PSS Sleman
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Persebaya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Persebaya carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 63% — that's where the model lands on Persebaya taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Persebaya Clean Sheet 20%
PSS Sleman Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Persebaya PSS Sleman
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 20 14
Draws 6 8
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 1.81 1.83
Goals Conceded 0.87 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 2.02 0.85
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2025 Club Friendly
Persebaya vs PSS Sleman
1:0
Jan 11, 2025 Super League
PSS Sleman vs Persebaya
3:1
Aug 11, 2024 Super League
Persebaya vs PSS Sleman
1:0
Mar 3, 2024 Super League
Persebaya vs PSS Sleman
2:1
Aug 26, 2023 Super League
PSS Sleman vs Persebaya
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Persebaya 76 / 100
PSS Sleman 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Persebaya PSS Sleman

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Persebaya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Persebaya scored in 94% of their last 31 games.

Persebaya went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

PSS Sleman has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Persebaya VS PSS Sleman
2.38 Goals Scored 1.33
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.67
50% Over 1.5 83%
50% Over 2.5 83%
38% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Persebaya

(Home)
09 Oct
Isenmulang Kalteng
0 : 1
Persebaya
19 Sept
Persebaya
1 : 1
Garudayaksa
13 Sept
Persebaya
1 : 0
PSIM Yogyakarta
05 Sept
FC Bhayangkara
1 : 1
Persebaya
15 Aug
Persebaya
1 : 0
Penang
Page 1 of 7

PSS Sleman

(Away)
20 Sept
Dewa United
2 : 1
PSS Sleman
12 Sept
PSS Sleman
1 : 3
Madura United
04 Sept
Bali United
2 : 1
PSS Sleman
09 May
PSS Sleman
2 : 3
Garudayaksa
03 May
PSS Sleman
3 : 0
PSIS Semarang
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dewa United 4 3 1 0 8:4 10
2 Madura United 4 3 0 1 7:4 9
3 Persija Jakarta 3 3 0 0 4:1 9
4 Persebaya 4 2 2 0 4:2 8
5 Persik Kediri 4 2 1 1 5:2 7
6 Borneo 4 2 0 2 3:4 6
7 Persib Bandung 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
8 Bali United 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
9 Arema FC 3 1 2 0 8:4 5
10 FC Bhayangkara 3 1 2 0 5:3 5
11 Persita 3 1 2 0 6:5 5
12 PSM Makassar 3 0 2 1 6:8 2
13 Garudayaksa 3 0 2 1 2:4 2
14 PSIM Yogyakarta 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
15 PSS Sleman 3 0 0 3 3:7 0
16 Persijap Jepara 3 0 0 3 1:5 0
17 Java United 3 0 1 2 3:5 -1
18 Isenmulang Kalteng 4 0 0 4 1:11 -2
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Qualification)