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Persekat Tegal vs Gresik - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Indonesia Indonesia

Liga 2 2024/2025 Tri Sanja Stadium, Tegal
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Wilkson
42'
Supriyanto J.
49' Event
Kurniawan D.

AI Match Summary

Gresik in this Liga 2 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gresik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Persekat Tegal
35%
Draws
39%
Gresik
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Gresik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Gresik have won more games recently than Persekat Tegal.
  • Win probability leans Gresik's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Liga 2 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Persekat Tegal Clean Sheet 22%
Gresik Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Persekat Tegal Gresik
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 7 12
Draws 10 8
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 0.94 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2025 Championship
Gresik vs Persekat Tegal
2:2
Jan 20, 2025 Championship
Persekat Tegal vs Gresik
1:2
Nov 4, 2023 Championship
Persekat Tegal vs Gresik
1:0
Sep 10, 2023 Championship
Gresik vs Persekat Tegal
2:0
Nov 4, 2022 Championship
Gresik vs Persekat Tegal
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Persekat Tegal Compare

Top Goalscorer Budiyono A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Gresik Compare

Top Goalscorer Wilkson
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kurniawan D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Persekat Tegal 29 / 100
Gresik 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Persekat Tegal Gresik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gresik Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Persekat Tegal's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Gresik's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Persekat Tegal stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Persekat Tegal VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Persekat Tegal

(Home)
08 May
Persekat Tegal
1 : 2
Balikpapan
02 May
Sumsel United
3 : 1
Persekat Tegal
26 Apr
Persekat Tegal
1 : 1
Persiraja Aceh
19 Apr
PSPS Riau
4 : 2
Persekat Tegal
12 Apr
Persekat Tegal
2 : 0
Sriwijaya
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Gresik

(Away)
21 Feb
Persibo Bojonegoro
0 : 0
Gresik
16 Feb
Gresik
2 : 1
Persewar Waropen
13 Feb
Persiku Kudus
1 : 0
Gresik
09 Feb
Gresik
2 : 2
Persekat Tegal
04 Feb
Persewar Waropen
0 : 0
Gresik
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSMS Medan 6 5 0 1 14:2 15
2 Sriwijaya 6 3 0 3 8:8 9
3 Nusantara 6 2 1 3 6:12 7
4 Persikota Tangerang 6 1 1 4 8:14 4
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Isenmulang Kalteng 6 3 3 0 8:3 12
2 Bekasi City 6 3 3 0 9:5 12
3 Dejan 6 2 1 3 9:9 7
4 Persikabo 1973 6 0 1 5 8:17 1
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persiku Kudus 8 5 1 2 6:3 16
2 Persekat Tegal 8 4 1 3 12:10 13
3 Persibo Bojonegoro 8 4 1 3 14:11 13
4 Gresik 8 3 3 2 10:8 12
5 Persewar Waropen 8 0 2 6 6:16 2
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persikas Subang 8 5 1 2 8:5 16
2 Persipal BU 8 5 0 3 10:5 15
3 Persipura Jayapura 8 4 2 2 18:6 14
4 Persipa Pati 8 2 3 3 9:7 9
5 RANS Nusantara 8 0 2 6 3:25 2
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)