Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Persekat Tegal vs Persiraja Aceh

Indonesia Indonesia

Championship 2025/2026 Tri Sanja Stadium, Tegal
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Saputro R.
34' Event
Serra Matos P. M.
(Penalty)
46'
Sub
Tiwu J. In: Laly D.
Out: Tiwu J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Championship 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Persekat Tegal
30%
Draws
23%
Persiraja Aceh
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Persekat Tegal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Persiraja Aceh lately — more wins on the board than Persekat Tegal.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Persekat Tegal taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championship 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Persekat Tegal Clean Sheet 11%
Persiraja Aceh Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Persekat Tegal Persiraja Aceh
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 10
Draws 9 10
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 0.87 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Championship
Persekat Tegal vs Persiraja Aceh
1:1
Jan 24, 2026 Championship
Persekat Tegal vs Persiraja Aceh
0:0
Nov 2, 2025 Championship
Persiraja Aceh vs Persekat Tegal
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Persekat Tegal Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Persiraja Aceh Compare

Top Goalscorer Flynn-Gillespie C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Persekat Tegal 40 / 100
Persiraja Aceh 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Persekat Tegal Persiraja Aceh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Persekat Tegal found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Persiraja Aceh let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Persiraja Aceh lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Persekat Tegal VS Persiraja Aceh
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Persekat Tegal

(Home)
08 May
Persekat Tegal
1 : 2
Balikpapan
02 May
Sumsel United
3 : 1
Persekat Tegal
26 Apr
Persekat Tegal
1 : 1
Persiraja Aceh
19 Apr
PSPS Riau
4 : 2
Persekat Tegal
12 Apr
Persekat Tegal
2 : 0
Sriwijaya
Page 1 of 6

Persiraja Aceh

(Away)
26 Sept
Persikad Depok
2 : 1
Persiraja Aceh
19 Sept
PSPS Riau
2 : 1
Persiraja Aceh
13 Sept
Persiraja Aceh
0 : 1
Semen Padang
02 May
Persiraja Aceh
1 : 1
PSMS Medan
26 Apr
Persekat Tegal
1 : 1
Persiraja Aceh
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Garudayaksa 27 14 10 3 49:19 52
2 Isenmulang Kalteng 27 14 9 4 64:34 51
3 Bekasi City 27 12 8 7 42:27 44
4 Sumsel United 27 12 6 9 40:33 42
5 Persiraja Aceh 27 10 10 7 42:32 40
6 PSPS Riau 27 9 10 8 50:45 37
7 PSMS Medan 27 9 9 9 33:31 36
8 Persikad Depok 27 9 7 11 39:45 34
9 Persekat Tegal 27 6 9 12 23:38 27
10 Sriwijaya 27 0 2 25 15:93 2
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSS Sleman 27 16 8 3 53:19 56
2 Persipura Jayapura 27 17 5 5 44:17 56
3 PS Barito Putera 27 15 8 4 41:18 53
4 Tornado Pekanbaru 27 15 5 7 47:21 50
5 Deltras Sidoarjo 27 13 3 11 39:33 42
6 Persela Lamongan 27 11 8 8 34:26 41
7 Persiku Kudus 27 7 6 14 35:41 27
8 PSIS Semarang 27 6 5 16 22:50 23
9 Balikpapan 27 4 7 16 23:42 19
10 Persipal BU 27 0 7 20 19:90 7
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)