Sport Picks
Persepolis vs Aluminium Arak
Iran
Persian Gulf Pro League 2025/2026 Azadi Stadium, Tehran 
Match Events
3'
3'
Bifouma T.
Assist: Mohammadi M.
61'
61'
Goudarzi B.
63'
63'
Sub
Jahan Kohan A. In: Mehdipour M.
Out: Jahan Kohan A.
AI Match Summary
Persepolis in this Persian Gulf Pro League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Persepolis.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
35%
31%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
34%
/ Low Confidence
- Persepolis have won more games recently than Aluminium Arak.
- 34% — that's where the model lands on Persepolis taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Persepolis Clean Sheet 68%
Aluminium Arak Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Persepolis | Aluminium Arak |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 27 |
| Wins | 12 | 8 |
| Draws | 6 | 10 |
| Losses | 9 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.26 | 0.85 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.89 | 0.89 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 14, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Persepolis vs Aluminium Arak
1:0
Feb 22, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Aluminium Arak vs Persepolis
1:1
Sep 20, 2024 Persian Gulf Pro League
Persepolis vs Aluminium Arak
2:0
Apr 26, 2024 Hazfi Cup
Aluminium Arak vs Persepolis
5:4
Feb 15, 2024 Persian Gulf Pro League
Aluminium Arak vs Persepolis
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Persepolis Compare
Top Goalscorer Bifouma T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Aluminium Arak Compare
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Persepolis 68 / 100
Aluminium Arak 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Persepolis Aluminium Arak
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Persepolis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Persepolis's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 27 recent games.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Persepolis stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Defensive concern: Aluminium Arak conceded in 56% of 27 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Persepolis VS Aluminium Arak
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Persepolis
(Home) 07 Sept
Persepolis
2 : 0 Zob Ahan
02 Sept
Esteghlal TEH
1 : 1 Persepolis
29 Aug
Persepolis
3 : 0 Malavan
24 Aug
Tractor
1 : 0 Persepolis
19 Aug
Persepolis
4 : 1 Esteghlal Khuzestan
Page 1 of 6
07 Sept
Persepolis
2 : 0 Zob Ahan
29 Aug
Persepolis
3 : 0 Malavan
19 Aug
Persepolis
4 : 1 Esteghlal Khuzestan
20 Feb
Persepolis
1 : 2 Kheybar Khorramabad
03 Feb
Persepolis
1 : 0 Chadormalu
Page 1 of 3
Aluminium Arak
(Away) 06 Sept
Aluminium Arak
0 : 0 Esteghlal TEH
01 Sept
Gol Gohar
0 : 2 Aluminium Arak
28 Aug
Aluminium Arak
2 : 2 Kheybar Khorramabad
23 Aug
Shams Azar Qazvin
1 : 2 Aluminium Arak
18 Aug
Aluminium Arak
0 : 0 Chadormalu
Page 1 of 6
01 Sept
Gol Gohar
0 : 2 Aluminium Arak
23 Aug
Shams Azar Qazvin
1 : 2 Aluminium Arak
14 Aug
Esteghlal Khuzestan
0 : 2 Aluminium Arak
13 Feb
Shams Azar Qazvin
0 : 0 Aluminium Arak
01 Feb
Esteghlal Khuzestan
1 : 1 Aluminium Arak
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Esteghlal TEH | 22 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 29:16 | 41 |
| 2 | Tractor | 22 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 30:12 | 39 |
| 3 | Sepahan | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 24:13 | 39 |
| 4 | Gol Gohar | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 24:24 | 36 |
| 5 | Chadormalu | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 27:19 | 35 |
| 6 | Persepolis | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 23:19 | 34 |
| 7 | Foolad | 22 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 21:16 | 31 |
| 8 | Fajr Sepasi | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 25:27 | 30 |
| 9 | Kheybar Khorramabad | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 22:24 | 29 |
| 10 | Malavan | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 13:21 | 29 |
| 11 | Esteghlal Khuzestan | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 16:23 | 25 |
| 12 | Paykan | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 15:21 | 24 |
| 13 | Shams Azar Qazvin | 23 | 3 | 13 | 7 | 15:19 | 22 |
| 14 | Aluminium Arak | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 14:21 | 22 |
| 15 | Zob Ahan | 21 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 12:19 | 19 |
| 16 | Mes Rafsanjan | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 13:29 | 15 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation - Persian Gulf Pro League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
