Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Persepolis vs Aluminium Arak

Iran Iran

Persian Gulf Pro League Azadi Stadium, Tehran
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Bifouma T.
Assist: Mohammadi M.
61'
Goudarzi B.
63'
Sub
Jahan Kohan A. In: Mehdipour M.
Out: Jahan Kohan A.

AI Match Summary

Persepolis in this Persian Gulf Pro League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Persepolis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Persepolis
33%
Draws
40%
Aluminium Arak
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Aluminium Arak

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Persepolis have won more games recently than Aluminium Arak.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Aluminium Arak taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Persepolis Clean Sheet 23%
Aluminium Arak Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Persepolis Aluminium Arak
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 11 6
Draws 8 9
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 0.75 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 14, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Persepolis vs Aluminium Arak
1:0
Feb 22, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Aluminium Arak vs Persepolis
1:1
Sep 20, 2024 Persian Gulf Pro League
Persepolis vs Aluminium Arak
2:0
Apr 26, 2024 Hazfi Cup
Aluminium Arak vs Persepolis
5:4
Feb 15, 2024 Persian Gulf Pro League
Aluminium Arak vs Persepolis
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Persepolis Compare

Top Goalscorer Bifouma T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Aluminium Arak Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Persepolis 29 / 100
Aluminium Arak 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Persepolis Aluminium Arak

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Persepolis's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Aluminium Arak's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 27 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Persepolis remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Persepolis VS Aluminium Arak
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Persepolis

(Home)
26 Jun
Chadormalu
2 : 1
Persepolis
20 Feb
Persepolis
1 : 2
Kheybar Khorramabad
14 Feb
Gol Gohar
3 : 1
Persepolis
08 Feb
Malavan
1 : 0
Persepolis
03 Feb
Persepolis
1 : 0
Chadormalu
Page 1 of 6

Aluminium Arak

(Away)
20 Feb
Aluminium Arak
1 : 1
Paykan
13 Feb
Shams Azar Qazvin
0 : 0
Aluminium Arak
07 Feb
Aluminium Arak
1 : 0
Zob Ahan
01 Feb
Esteghlal Khuzestan
1 : 1
Aluminium Arak
27 Jan
Aluminium Arak
0 : 1
Tractor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Esteghlal TEH22118329:1641
2Tractor22109330:1239
3Sepahan22116524:1339
4Gol Gohar23106724:2436
5Chadormalu2298527:1935
6Persepolis2297623:1934
7Foolad22710521:1631
8Fajr Sepasi2386925:2730
9Kheybar Khorramabad2378822:2429
10Malavan2278713:2129
11Esteghlal Khuzestan2267916:2325
12Paykan2359915:2124
13Shams Azar Qazvin23313715:1922
14Aluminium Arak22571014:2122
15Zob Ahan21310812:1919
16Mes Rafsanjan22361313:2915
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation - Persian Gulf Pro League (Relegation)