Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Persewar Waropen vs Gresik

Indonesia Indonesia

Liga 2 2024/2025 Mandala Stadium, Jayapura
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Wally R.
24'
Sub
Ayomi S. In: Kararbo D.
Out: Ayomi S.
44'
Syahbas F.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga 2 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Persewar Waropen
35%
Draws
49%
Gresik
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Gresik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gresik lately — more wins on the board than Persewar Waropen.
  • Model gives Gresik a 49% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Persewar Waropen Clean Sheet 13%
Gresik Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Persewar Waropen Gresik
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 3 12
Draws 4 8
Losses 23 10
Goals Scored 1 1.23
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2025 Championship
Gresik vs Persewar Waropen
2:1
Feb 4, 2025 Championship
Persewar Waropen vs Gresik
0:0
Dec 21, 2024 Championship
Persewar Waropen vs Gresik
1:1
Oct 11, 2024 Championship
Gresik vs Persewar Waropen
1:0
Jan 22, 2024 Championship
Persewar Waropen vs Gresik
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Persewar Waropen Compare

Top Goalscorer Maker M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Gresik Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Persewar Waropen 10 / 100
Gresik 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Persewar Waropen Gresik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gresik Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Persewar Waropen's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Gresik has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Persewar Waropen has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Persewar Waropen VS Gresik
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Persewar Waropen

(Home)
25 Feb
Persewar Waropen
2 : 6
Persibo Bojonegoro
20 Feb
Persewar Waropen
0 : 0
Persiku Kudus
16 Feb
Gresik
2 : 1
Persewar Waropen
13 Feb
Persekat Tegal
2 : 1
Persewar Waropen
04 Feb
Persewar Waropen
0 : 0
Gresik
Page 1 of 6

Gresik

(Away)
21 Feb
Persibo Bojonegoro
0 : 0
Gresik
16 Feb
Gresik
2 : 1
Persewar Waropen
13 Feb
Persiku Kudus
1 : 0
Gresik
09 Feb
Gresik
2 : 2
Persekat Tegal
04 Feb
Persewar Waropen
0 : 0
Gresik
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persiraja Aceh 16 10 4 2 33:17 34
2 PSKC Cimahi 16 8 3 5 19:15 27
3 PSPS Riau 16 7 6 3 27:19 27
4 PSMS Medan 16 7 5 4 23:13 26
5 Bekasi City 16 7 4 5 23:18 25
6 Persikota Tangerang 16 6 2 8 23:24 20
7 Dejan 16 5 5 6 17:23 20
8 Sriwijaya 16 3 5 8 19:23 14
9 Persikabo 1973 16 1 2 13 15:47 5
Promotion - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Bhayangkara 16 9 6 1 27:7 33
2 PSIM Yogyakarta 16 8 5 3 28:7 29
3 Persijap Jepara 16 7 7 2 20:9 28
4 Isenmulang Kalteng 16 7 4 5 20:14 25
5 Nusantara 16 4 7 5 14:21 19
6 Persekat Tegal 16 5 3 8 17:21 18
7 Persipa Pati 16 4 6 6 11:16 18
8 Persiku Kudus 16 3 7 6 8:15 16
9 Persikas Subang 16 2 1 13 10:45 7
Promotion - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persela Lamongan 14 7 5 2 23:13 26
2 Deltras Sidoarjo 14 6 7 1 22:11 25
3 Persipura Jayapura 14 7 2 5 25:14 23
4 Persibo Bojonegoro 14 7 2 5 25:17 23
5 Persipal BU 14 6 4 4 18:18 22
6 Gresik 14 6 3 5 18:16 21
7 RANS Nusantara 14 2 3 9 9:36 9
8 Persewar Waropen 14 1 2 11 16:31 -4
Promotion - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation Group)