Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Persewar Waropen vs Persekat Tegal

Indonesia Indonesia

Liga 2 2024/2025 Mandala Stadium, Jayapura
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Tjoe Y.
20'
Maulana D.
32'
Onna J.

AI Match Summary

Persekat Tegal in this Liga 2 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Persekat Tegal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Persewar Waropen
30%
Draws
47%
Persekat Tegal
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Persekat Tegal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Persewar Waropen haven't matched Persekat Tegal's recent run of results.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Persekat Tegal taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Persewar Waropen Clean Sheet 25%
Persekat Tegal Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Persewar Waropen Persekat Tegal
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 3 8
Draws 4 10
Losses 23 16
Goals Scored 1 0.97
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 13, 2025 Championship
Persekat Tegal vs Persewar Waropen
2:1
Jan 24, 2025 Championship
Persewar Waropen vs Persekat Tegal
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Persewar Waropen Compare

Top Goalscorer Tjoe Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Persekat Tegal Compare

Top Goalscorer Felipe Ferreira
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Persewar Waropen 29 / 100
Persekat Tegal 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Persewar Waropen Persekat Tegal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Persekat Tegal Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Persewar Waropen's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Persekat Tegal's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 34 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Persekat Tegal lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Persekat Tegal
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Persewar Waropen

(Home)
25 Feb
Persewar Waropen
2 : 6
Persibo Bojonegoro
20 Feb
Persewar Waropen
0 : 0
Persiku Kudus
16 Feb
Gresik
2 : 1
Persewar Waropen
13 Feb
Persekat Tegal
2 : 1
Persewar Waropen
04 Feb
Persewar Waropen
0 : 0
Gresik
Page 1 of 6

Persekat Tegal

(Away)
08 May
Persekat Tegal
1 : 2
Balikpapan
02 May
Sumsel United
3 : 1
Persekat Tegal
26 Apr
Persekat Tegal
1 : 1
Persiraja Aceh
19 Apr
PSPS Riau
4 : 2
Persekat Tegal
12 Apr
Persekat Tegal
2 : 0
Sriwijaya
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSMS Medan 6 5 0 1 14:2 15
2 Sriwijaya 6 3 0 3 8:8 9
3 Nusantara 6 2 1 3 6:12 7
4 Persikota Tangerang 6 1 1 4 8:14 4
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Isenmulang Kalteng 6 3 3 0 8:3 12
2 Bekasi City 6 3 3 0 9:5 12
3 Dejan 6 2 1 3 9:9 7
4 Persikabo 1973 6 0 1 5 8:17 1
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persiku Kudus 8 5 1 2 6:3 16
2 Persekat Tegal 8 4 1 3 12:10 13
3 Persibo Bojonegoro 8 4 1 3 14:11 13
4 Gresik 8 3 3 2 10:8 12
5 Persewar Waropen 8 0 2 6 6:16 2
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persikas Subang 8 5 1 2 8:5 16
2 Persipal BU 8 5 0 3 10:5 15
3 Persipura Jayapura 8 4 2 2 18:6 14
4 Persipa Pati 8 2 3 3 9:7 9
5 RANS Nusantara 8 0 2 6 3:25 2
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)