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Persija Jakarta vs Arema FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Indonesia Indonesia

Super League Bung Karno Stadium, Jakarta
Wed, Oct 21, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Persija Jakarta host Arema FC in the Super League. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Persija Jakarta at 2.03 goals for, 0.78 against; Arema FC at 1.63 for, 1.31 against. Past meetings favor Persija Jakarta slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 6, 2026, ending 3:1. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 1.44) point toward Persija Jakarta. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Persija Jakarta
30%
Draws
26%
Arema FC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Persija Jakarta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Persija Jakarta carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Persija Jakarta are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Persija Jakarta Clean Sheet 16%
Arema FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Persija Jakarta Arema FC
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 22 13
Draws 4 8
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 2.03 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.78 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 6, 2026 President Cup
Persija Jakarta vs Arema FC
3:1
Feb 8, 2026 Super League
Persija Jakarta vs Arema FC
0:2
Nov 8, 2025 Super League
Arema FC vs Persija Jakarta
1:2
Jul 26, 2025 Club Friendly
Persija Jakarta vs Arema FC
3:0
Mar 9, 2025 Super League
Persija Jakarta vs Arema FC
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Persija Jakarta 66 / 100
Arema FC 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Persija Jakarta Arema FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Persija Jakarta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Persija Jakarta's goal record stands at 91% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Persija Jakarta has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Arema FC let in goals in 69% of their last 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

Persija Jakarta VS Arema FC
2.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Persija Jakarta

(Home)
10 Oct
PSIM Yogyakarta
0 : 4
Persija Jakarta
19 Sept
Persija Jakarta
1 : 0
Java United
12 Sept
Persija Jakarta
2 : 1
Persib Bandung
05 Sept
Borneo
0 : 1
Persija Jakarta
29 Aug
Persija Jakarta
4 : 0
Brisbane Roar
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Arema FC

(Away)
10 Oct
Arema FC
2 : 2
FC Bhayangkara
18 Sept
Arema FC
1 : 1
Persik Kediri
13 Sept
PSM Makassar
3 : 3
Arema FC
04 Sept
Arema FC
4 : 0
Isenmulang Kalteng
22 Aug
RANS Nusantara
0 : 2
Arema FC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persija Jakarta 4 4 0 0 8:1 12
2 Dewa United 5 3 2 0 10:6 11
3 Bali United 4 3 0 1 12:4 9
4 Madura United 4 3 0 1 7:4 9
5 Persita 4 2 2 0 8:6 8
6 Persebaya 4 2 2 0 4:2 8
7 Persik Kediri 4 2 1 1 5:2 7
8 Persib Bandung 4 2 1 1 8:6 7
9 Arema FC 4 1 3 0 10:6 6
10 FC Bhayangkara 4 1 3 0 7:5 6
11 Borneo 5 2 0 3 4:6 6
12 PSS Sleman 4 1 0 3 6:7 3
13 Java United 4 1 1 2 5:6 2
14 Garudayaksa 4 0 2 2 3:6 2
15 PSM Makassar 4 0 2 2 6:11 2
16 PSIM Yogyakarta 4 0 1 3 2:8 1
17 Persijap Jepara 4 0 0 4 2:11 0
18 Isenmulang Kalteng 4 0 0 4 1:11 -2
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Qualification)