Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Persija Jakarta vs Madura United

Indonesia Indonesia

Super League Bung Karno Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Persija Jakarta play Madura United in the Super League. Persija Jakarta are favorites here. Recently, Persija Jakarta averaged 1.8 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. Madura United averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. In past meetings, Persija Jakarta won 4, Madura United won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 23, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.81 for Persija Jakarta and 1.13 for Madura United. This points to a Persija Jakarta double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Persija Jakarta
15%
Draws
25%
Madura United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Persija Jakarta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

86% / Very High Confidence
  • Persija Jakarta picked up more points recently compared to Madura United.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.81 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Persija Jakarta Clean Sheet 21%
Madura United Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Persija Jakarta Madura United
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 19 8
Draws 4 7
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1.8 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 23, 2026 Super League
Persija Jakarta vs Madura United
2:0
Oct 24, 2025 Super League
Madura United vs Persija Jakarta
0:1
Apr 6, 2025 Super League
Madura United vs Persija Jakarta
1:0
Nov 6, 2024 Super League
Persija Jakarta vs Madura United
4:1
Jul 21, 2024 President Cup
Madura United vs Persija Jakarta
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Persija Jakarta 58 / 100
Madura United 25 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Persija Jakarta Madura United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Persija Jakarta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Persija Jakarta & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.8%
2.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Persija Jakarta attacking → ← attacking Madura United

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Persija Jakarta scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Madura United let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Persija Jakarta went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Madura United lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

61 Points in last 5 31
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Persib Bandung34247359:2279
2Borneo34254574:3179
3Persija Jakarta34225765:2971
4Persebaya341610861:3558
5FC Bhayangkara341651353:4553
6Malut United341581168:5353
7Dewa United341651344:3753
8Bali United341491157:4851
9Arema FC341391253:4748
10Persita341361538:3745
11PSIM Yogyakarta3411121143:4445
12Persik Kediri341161742:6139
13Persijap Jepara34991631:4536
14Madura United34981737:5435
15PSM Makassar348101639:4934
16Persis Solo348101639:5934
17Semen Padang34552422:6520
18PSBS Biak Numfor34462431:9518