Sport Picks
Persija Jakarta vs PSMS Medan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Indonesia
President Cup Bung Karno Stadium, Jakarta 
Match Events
19'
19'
Sub
Gomes S. In: Cahya A.
Out: Gomes S.
22'
22'
Abdulmanan A.
Assist: Sulaeman W.
46'
46'
Sub
Dennis F. In: Yoshino K.
Out: Dennis F.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 4-1. This leg finished 4-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Persija Jakarta
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- PSMS Medan haven't matched Persija Jakarta's recent run of results.
- 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Persija Jakarta have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Persija Jakarta, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Persija Jakarta Clean Sheet 16%
PSMS Medan Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Persija Jakarta | PSMS Medan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 19 | 10 |
| Draws | 4 | 8 |
| Losses | 6 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.93 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.83 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 1, 2026 President Cup
Persija Jakarta vs PSMS Medan
4:1
Aug 12, 2018 Super League
Persija Jakarta vs PSMS Medan
0:0
Apr 6, 2018 Super League
PSMS Medan vs Persija Jakarta
3:1
Feb 12, 2018 President Cup
Persija Jakarta vs PSMS Medan
1:0
Feb 10, 2018 President Cup
Persija Jakarta vs PSMS Medan
4:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Persija Jakarta Compare
Top Goalscorer Abdulmanan A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Dethan V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
PSMS Medan Compare
Top Goalscorer Chan I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Persija Jakarta 30 / 100
PSMS Medan 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Persija Jakarta PSMS Medan
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Persija Jakarta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Persija Jakarta scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.
Persija Jakarta went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
PSMS Medan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Persija Jakarta VS PSMS Medan
2.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Persija Jakarta
(Home) 19 Sept
Persija Jakarta
1 : 0 Java United
12 Sept
Persija Jakarta
2 : 1 Persib Bandung
05 Sept
Borneo
0 : 1 Persija Jakarta
29 Aug
Persija Jakarta
4 : 0 Brisbane Roar
06 Aug
Persija Jakarta
3 : 1 Arema FC
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19 Sept
Persija Jakarta
1 : 0 Java United
12 Sept
Persija Jakarta
2 : 1 Persib Bandung
29 Aug
Persija Jakarta
4 : 0 Brisbane Roar
06 Aug
Persija Jakarta
3 : 1 Arema FC
01 Aug
Persija Jakarta
4 : 1 PSMS Medan
Page 1 of 4
PSMS Medan
(Away) 03 Oct
PSMS Medan
4 : 0 Persikad Depok
27 Sept
Bekasi City
0 : 1 PSMS Medan
20 Sept
PSMS Medan
6 : 0 Persiku Kudus
13 Sept
Sumsel United
2 : 2 PSMS Medan
01 Aug
Persija Jakarta
4 : 1 PSMS Medan
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Bekasi City
0 : 1 PSMS Medan
13 Sept
Sumsel United
2 : 2 PSMS Medan
01 Aug
Persija Jakarta
4 : 1 PSMS Medan
29 Jul
Persebaya
1 : 0 PSMS Medan
02 May
Persiraja Aceh
1 : 1 PSMS Medan
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Persib Bandung | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 9 |
| 2 | Arema FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 3 | Tampines | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | 1 |
| 4 | DPMM | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | 1 |
Promotion - President Cup (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Persebaya | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Persija Jakarta | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 4 |
| 3 | Port MTI FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 4 |
| 4 | PSMS Medan | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:7 | 0 |
Promotion - President Cup (Play Offs)
