Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Persijap Jepara vs Persebaya

Indonesia Indonesia

Super League 2025/2026 Gelora Bumi Kartini Stadium, Jepara
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Firmansyah T.
32' Event
Guarrotxena I.
Assist: Morelatto
38'
Hidayat R.

AI Match Summary

The Super League 2025/2026 game between Persijap Jepara and Persebaya finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Persijap Jepara.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Persijap Jepara
35%
Draws
55%
Persebaya
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Persebaya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

55% / Medium Confidence
  • Persebaya carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Persebaya are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 53%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Persijap Jepara Clean Sheet 13%
Persebaya Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Persijap Jepara Persebaya
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 19
Draws 7 6
Losses 15 5
Goals Scored 0.83 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.31 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.53 1.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Super League
Persijap Jepara vs Persebaya
3:1
Dec 28, 2025 Super League
Persebaya vs Persijap Jepara
4:0
Nov 30, 2013 Premier League
Persebaya vs Persijap Jepara
0:0
Jul 4, 2013 Premier League
Persijap Jepara vs Persebaya
1:0
Jun 23, 2012 Premier League
Persebaya vs Persijap Jepara
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Persijap Jepara Compare

Top Goalscorer Guarrotxena I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gomez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.41
Avg xA / game 0.27

Persebaya Compare

Avg xG / game 1.52
Avg xA / game 0.93

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Persijap Jepara 19 / 100
Persebaya 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Persijap Jepara Persebaya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Persebaya Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Persijap Jepara's goal record stands at 48% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Persebaya conceded in 47% of 30 recent games.

Persijap Jepara went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Persijap Jepara VS Persebaya
0.57 Goals Scored 2.63
0.71 Goals Conceded 0.5
43% Over 1.5 63%
29% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Persijap Jepara

(Home)
20 Sept
Persijap Jepara
1 : 2
Persib Bandung
12 Sept
Persijap Jepara
0 : 1
Borneo
06 Sept
Madura United
2 : 0
Persijap Jepara
23 May
Persib Bandung
0 : 0
Persijap Jepara
17 May
Persijap Jepara
0 : 0
Borneo
Page 1 of 6

Persebaya

(Away)
19 Sept
Persebaya
1 : 1
Garudayaksa
13 Sept
Persebaya
1 : 0
PSIM Yogyakarta
05 Sept
FC Bhayangkara
1 : 1
Persebaya
15 Aug
Persebaya
1 : 0
Penang
06 Aug
Persib Bandung
1 : 2
Persebaya
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persib Bandung 34 24 7 3 59:22 79
2 Borneo 34 25 4 5 74:31 79
3 Persija Jakarta 34 22 5 7 65:29 71
4 Persebaya 34 16 10 8 61:35 58
5 FC Bhayangkara 34 16 5 13 53:45 53
6 Java United 34 15 8 11 68:53 53
7 Dewa United 34 16 5 13 44:37 53
8 Bali United 34 14 9 11 57:48 51
9 Arema FC 34 13 9 12 53:47 48
10 Persita 34 13 6 15 38:37 45
11 PSIM Yogyakarta 34 11 12 11 43:44 45
12 Persik Kediri 34 11 6 17 42:61 39
13 Persijap Jepara 34 9 9 16 31:45 36
14 Madura United 34 9 8 17 37:54 35
15 PSM Makassar 34 8 10 16 39:49 34
16 Persis Solo 34 8 10 16 39:59 34
17 Semen Padang 34 5 5 24 22:65 20
18 PSBS Biak Numfor 34 4 6 24 31:95 18
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)