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Persipura Jayapura vs Gresik

Indonesia Indonesia

Liga 2 2024/2025 Mandala Stadium, Jayapura
Persipura Jayapura Logo

Persipura Jayapura

3 - 1
FT
Gresik Logo

Gresik

Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Rumakiek R.
29'
Sub
Mandowen G. In: Solossa B.
Out: Mandowen G.
40'
Setiawan S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga 2 2024/2025 game between Persipura Jayapura and Gresik finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Persipura Jayapura.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Persipura Jayapura
35%
Draws
35%
Gresik
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Persipura Jayapura come out ahead of Gresik on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Persipura Jayapura Clean Sheet 20%
Gresik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Persipura Jayapura Gresik
Matches Played 42 30
Wins 25 12
Draws 9 8
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.79 1.23
Goals Conceded 0.71 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 14, 2024 Championship
Persipura Jayapura vs Gresik
3:1
Oct 6, 2024 Championship
Gresik vs Persipura Jayapura
0:0
Aug 21, 2017 Super League
Gresik vs Persipura Jayapura
0:0
Aug 14, 2017 Super League
Gresik vs Persipura Jayapura
0:4
Apr 18, 2017 Super League
Persipura Jayapura vs Gresik
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Persipura Jayapura Compare

Top Goalscorer Rumakiek R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Gresik Compare

Top Goalscorer Kurniawan D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Persipura Jayapura 32 / 100
Gresik 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Persipura Jayapura Gresik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Persipura Jayapura's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 42 recent games.

Gresik has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Persipura Jayapura stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Persipura Jayapura VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Persipura Jayapura

(Home)
02 Oct
Dejan
1 : 3
Persipura Jayapura
26 Sept
Persipura Jayapura
1 : 1
Persis Solo
18 Sept
Persipura Jayapura
0 : 0
Tornado Pekanbaru
12 Sept
PS Barito Putera
3 : 2
Persipura Jayapura
08 May
Persipura Jayapura
0 : 1
Isenmulang Kalteng
Page 1 of 9

Gresik

(Away)
21 Feb
Persibo Bojonegoro
0 : 0
Gresik
16 Feb
Gresik
2 : 1
Persewar Waropen
13 Feb
Persiku Kudus
1 : 0
Gresik
09 Feb
Gresik
2 : 2
Persekat Tegal
04 Feb
Persewar Waropen
0 : 0
Gresik
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persiraja Aceh 16 10 4 2 33:17 34
2 PSKC Cimahi 16 8 3 5 19:15 27
3 PSPS Riau 16 7 6 3 27:19 27
4 PSMS Medan 16 7 5 4 23:13 26
5 Bekasi City 16 7 4 5 23:18 25
6 Persikota Tangerang 16 6 2 8 23:24 20
7 Dejan 16 5 5 6 17:23 20
8 Sriwijaya 16 3 5 8 19:23 14
9 Persikabo 1973 16 1 2 13 15:47 5
Promotion - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Bhayangkara 16 9 6 1 27:7 33
2 PSIM Yogyakarta 16 8 5 3 28:7 29
3 Persijap Jepara 16 7 7 2 20:9 28
4 Isenmulang Kalteng 16 7 4 5 20:14 25
5 Nusantara 16 4 7 5 14:21 19
6 Persekat Tegal 16 5 3 8 17:21 18
7 Persipa Pati 16 4 6 6 11:16 18
8 Persiku Kudus 16 3 7 6 8:15 16
9 Persikas Subang 16 2 1 13 10:45 7
Promotion - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persela Lamongan 14 7 5 2 23:13 26
2 Deltras Sidoarjo 14 6 7 1 22:11 25
3 Persipura Jayapura 14 7 2 5 25:14 23
4 Persibo Bojonegoro 14 7 2 5 25:17 23
5 Persipal BU 14 6 4 4 18:18 22
6 Gresik 14 6 3 5 18:16 21
7 RANS Nusantara 14 2 3 9 9:36 9
8 Persewar Waropen 14 1 2 11 16:31 -4
Promotion - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation Group)