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Persipura Jayapura vs Persipal BU - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Indonesia Indonesia

Championship 2025/2026 Mandala Stadium, Jayapura
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Matheus
Assist: Sunuk R.
5' Event
Rumakiek R.
Assist: Sanadi R.
37' Event
Matheus
Assist: Mandowen G.

AI Match Summary

Persipura Jayapura in this Championship 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Persipura Jayapura.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Persipura Jayapura
20%
Draws
0%
Persipal BU
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Persipura Jayapura

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Persipura Jayapura lately — more wins on the board than Persipal BU.
  • Model gives Persipura Jayapura a 80% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championship 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Persipura Jayapura Clean Sheet 68%
Persipal BU Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Persipura Jayapura Persipal BU
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 3
Draws 7 7
Losses 6 20
Goals Scored 1.53 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.67 3
Expected Goals (xG) 3.56 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Championship
Persipal BU vs Persipura Jayapura
0:5
Nov 12, 2025 Championship
Persipura Jayapura vs Persipal BU
3:0
Sep 13, 2025 Championship
Persipal BU vs Persipura Jayapura
0:0
Feb 9, 2025 Championship
Persipura Jayapura vs Persipal BU
3:0
Jan 24, 2025 Championship
Persipal BU vs Persipura Jayapura
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Persipura Jayapura Compare

Top Goalscorer Matheus
2 Goals
Assists Leader Rumakiek R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.74
Avg xA / game 1.78

Persipal BU Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Persipura Jayapura 95 / 100
Persipal BU 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Persipura Jayapura Persipal BU

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Persipura Jayapura Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Persipal BU has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Difficult form: Persipal BU registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Persipura Jayapura scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Scoring Trends

Persipura Jayapura VS Persipal BU
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 5.25
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Persipura Jayapura

(Home)
02 Oct
Dejan
1 : 3
Persipura Jayapura
26 Sept
Persipura Jayapura
1 : 1
Persis Solo
18 Sept
Persipura Jayapura
0 : 0
Tornado Pekanbaru
12 Sept
PS Barito Putera
3 : 2
Persipura Jayapura
08 May
Persipura Jayapura
0 : 1
Isenmulang Kalteng
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Persipal BU

(Away)
03 May
PS Barito Putera
8 : 3
Persipal BU
26 Apr
Persipal BU
0 : 5
Persipura Jayapura
18 Apr
Persela Lamongan
7 : 1
Persipal BU
12 Apr
Persipal BU
2 : 4
Deltras Sidoarjo
04 Apr
PSS Sleman
7 : 0
Persipal BU
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Garudayaksa 27 14 10 3 49:19 52
2 Isenmulang Kalteng 27 14 9 4 64:34 51
3 Bekasi City 27 12 8 7 42:27 44
4 Sumsel United 27 12 6 9 40:33 42
5 Persiraja Aceh 27 10 10 7 42:32 40
6 PSPS Riau 27 9 10 8 50:45 37
7 PSMS Medan 27 9 9 9 33:31 36
8 Persikad Depok 27 9 7 11 39:45 34
9 Persekat Tegal 27 6 9 12 23:38 27
10 Sriwijaya 27 0 2 25 15:93 2
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSS Sleman 27 16 8 3 53:19 56
2 Persipura Jayapura 27 17 5 5 44:17 56
3 PS Barito Putera 27 15 8 4 41:18 53
4 Tornado Pekanbaru 27 15 5 7 47:21 50
5 Deltras Sidoarjo 27 13 3 11 39:33 42
6 Persela Lamongan 27 11 8 8 34:26 41
7 Persiku Kudus 27 7 6 14 35:41 27
8 PSIS Semarang 27 6 5 16 22:50 23
9 Balikpapan 27 4 7 16 23:42 19
10 Persipal BU 27 0 7 20 19:90 7
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)