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Stadium Background

Persipura Jayapura vs Persipal BU

Indonesia Indonesia

Championship Mandala Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Matheus
Assist: Sunuk R.
5' Event
Rumakiek R.
Assist: Sanadi R.
37' Event
Matheus
Assist: Mandowen G.

AI Match Summary

Persipura Jayapura in this Championship matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Persipura Jayapura.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Persipura Jayapura
6%
Draws
4%
Persipal BU
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Persipura Jayapura

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Persipura Jayapura lately — more wins on the board than Persipal BU.
  • Model gives Persipura Jayapura a 90% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Persipura Jayapura Clean Sheet 68%
Persipal BU Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Persipura Jayapura Persipal BU
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 19 3
Draws 5 7
Losses 6 20
Goals Scored 1.75 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.88 4.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 4.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Championship
Persipal BU vs Persipura Jayapura
0:5
Nov 12, 2025 Championship
Persipura Jayapura vs Persipal BU
3:0
Sep 13, 2025 Championship
Persipal BU vs Persipura Jayapura
0:0
Feb 9, 2025 Championship
Persipura Jayapura vs Persipal BU
3:0
Jan 24, 2025 Championship
Persipal BU vs Persipura Jayapura
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Persipura Jayapura Compare

Top Goalscorer Matheus
2 Goals
Assists Leader Rumakiek R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Persipal BU Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Persipura Jayapura 95 / 100
Persipal BU 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Persipura Jayapura Persipal BU

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Persipal BU has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Difficult form: Persipal BU registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Persipura Jayapura scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Scoring Trends

Persipura Jayapura VS Persipal BU
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 4.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 88%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Garudayaksa271410349:1952
2Adhyaksa27149464:3451
3Bekasi City27128742:2744
4Sumsel United27126940:3342
5Persiraja Aceh271010742:3240
6PSPS Riau27910850:4537
7PSMS Medan2799933:3136
8Persikad Depok27971139:4534
9Persekat Tegal27691223:3827
10Sriwijaya27022515:932
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1PSS Sleman27168353:1956
2Persipura Jayapura27175544:1756
3PS Barito Putera27158441:1853
4Tornado Pekanbaru27155747:2150
5Deltras Sidoarjo271331139:3342
6Persela Lamongan27118834:2641
7Persiku Kudus27761435:4127
8PSIS Semarang27651622:5023
9Balikpapan27471623:4219
10Persipal BU27072019:907