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Persita vs Arema FC

Indonesia Indonesia

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Match Events

17'
Guevara J.
31'
Yama H.
40'
Jardel M.

AI Match Summary

Arema FC in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arema FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Persita
6%
Draws
90%
Arema FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Arema FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Persita have won more games recently than Arema FC.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Arema FC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Persita Clean Sheet 19%
Arema FC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Persita Arema FC
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 5 7
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 0.63 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2026 Super League
Persita vs Arema FC
0:1
Dec 30, 2025 Super League
Arema FC vs Persita
0:1
Apr 20, 2025 Super League
Persita vs Arema FC
3:2
Dec 3, 2024 Super League
Arema FC vs Persita
3:0
Mar 13, 2024 Super League
Persita vs Arema FC
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Persita Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Arema FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Gustavo Franca
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Persita 10 / 100
Arema FC 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Persita Arema FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Arema FC has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Attacking prowess: Persita scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Persita has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Persita VS Arema FC
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Persib Bandung34247359:2279
2Borneo34254574:3179
3Persija Jakarta34225765:2971
4Persebaya341610861:3558
5FC Bhayangkara341651353:4553
6Malut United341581168:5353
7Dewa United341651344:3753
8Bali United341491157:4851
9Arema FC341391253:4748
10Persita341361538:3745
11PSIM Yogyakarta3411121143:4445
12Persik Kediri341161742:6139
13Persijap Jepara34991631:4536
14Madura United34981737:5435
15PSM Makassar348101639:4934
16Persis Solo348101639:5934
17Semen Padang34552422:6520
18PSBS Biak Numfor34462431:9518