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Persita vs Bali United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Indonesia Indonesia

Super League Utama Sport Center Kelapa Dua, Tangerang
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
08:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Persita host Bali United in the Super League. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Persita at 1.14 goals for, 1.17 against; Bali United at 2.04 for, 1.39 against. Past meetings favor Bali United slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 23, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.94, favoring Bali United. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Persita
20%
Draws
42%
Bali United
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bali United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Bali United have won more games recently than Persita.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Bali United taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Persita Clean Sheet 10%
Bali United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Persita Bali United
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 14
Draws 6 4
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.14 2.04
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2026 Super League
Persita vs Bali United
0:1
Oct 25, 2025 Super League
Bali United vs Persita
0:0
Mar 2, 2025 Super League
Bali United vs Persita
1:1
Oct 20, 2024 Super League
Persita vs Bali United
0:1
Apr 30, 2024 Super League
Persita vs Bali United
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Persita 14 / 100
Bali United 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Persita Bali United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bali United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Bali United conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Persita remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Persita scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Persita VS Bali United
1.25 Goals Scored 2
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Persita

(Home)
10 Oct
Persita
2 : 1
Garudayaksa
19 Sept
PSM Makassar
2 : 2
Persita
13 Sept
Persita
3 : 2
Java United
05 Sept
PSIM Yogyakarta
1 : 1
Persita
23 May
Persita
1 : 3
Persis Solo
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Bali United

(Away)
10 Oct
Bali United
6 : 1
Persijap Jepara
20 Sept
Borneo
1 : 0
Bali United
12 Sept
Bali United
4 : 1
Isenmulang Kalteng
04 Sept
Bali United
2 : 1
PSS Sleman
18 Aug
Persib Bandung
3 : 2
Bali United
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persija Jakarta 4 4 0 0 8:1 12
2 Dewa United 5 3 2 0 10:6 11
3 Bali United 4 3 0 1 12:4 9
4 Madura United 4 3 0 1 7:4 9
5 Persita 4 2 2 0 8:6 8
6 Persebaya 4 2 2 0 4:2 8
7 Persik Kediri 4 2 1 1 5:2 7
8 Persib Bandung 4 2 1 1 8:6 7
9 Arema FC 4 1 3 0 10:6 6
10 FC Bhayangkara 4 1 3 0 7:5 6
11 Borneo 5 2 0 3 4:6 6
12 PSS Sleman 4 1 0 3 6:7 3
13 Java United 4 1 1 2 5:6 2
14 Garudayaksa 4 0 2 2 3:6 2
15 PSM Makassar 4 0 2 2 6:11 2
16 PSIM Yogyakarta 4 0 1 3 2:8 1
17 Persijap Jepara 4 0 0 4 2:11 0
18 Isenmulang Kalteng 4 0 0 4 1:11 -2
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Qualification)