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Perth Glory U23 vs Fremantle City

Australia Australia

NPL Western Australia Sam Kerr Football Centre, Perth
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Sayon A.
30' Event
Knight A.
41' Event
Knight A.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Western Australia game between Perth Glory U23 and Fremantle City finished 5-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Perth Glory U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Perth Glory U23
30%
Draws
33%
Fremantle City
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Perth Glory U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Fremantle City carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Perth Glory U23's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Perth Glory U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Fremantle City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Perth Glory U23 Fremantle City
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 15
Draws 6 9
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.97 1.97
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 NPL Western Australia
Perth Glory U23 vs Fremantle City
5:3
May 23, 2026 NPL Western Australia
Fremantle City vs Perth Glory U23
4:3
Jun 14, 2025 NPL Western Australia
Fremantle City vs Perth Glory U23
1:2
Mar 15, 2025 NPL Western Australia
Perth Glory U23 vs Fremantle City
5:0
Jul 27, 2024 NPL Western Australia
Perth Glory U23 vs Fremantle City
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Perth Glory U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Knight A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sayon A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Fremantle City Compare

Top Goalscorer Edwards C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rossi L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Perth Glory U23 40 / 100
Fremantle City 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Perth Glory U23 Fremantle City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Perth Glory U23 scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

Fremantle City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 32 matches.

Perth Glory U23 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Perth Glory U23 VS Fremantle City
2.25 Goals Scored 2.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Perth Glory U23

(Home)
22 Aug
Bayswater
2 : 0
Perth Glory U23
15 Aug
Perth Glory U23
5 : 3
Fremantle City
01 Aug
Western Knights
2 : 2
Perth Glory U23
25 Jul
Perth Glory U23
4 : 0
Dianella White Eagle
18 Jul
Perth Glory U23
2 : 2
Armadale
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Fremantle City

(Away)
22 Aug
Olympic Kingsway
0 : 1
Fremantle City
15 Aug
Perth Glory U23
5 : 3
Fremantle City
09 Aug
South Melbourne
4 : 3
Fremantle City
01 Aug
Fremantle City
2 : 2
Perth Azzurri
22 Jul
Maitland
1 : 2
Fremantle City
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayswater 22 14 5 3 60:27 47
2 Olympic Kingsway 22 12 5 5 44:29 41
3 Perth RedStar 22 12 5 5 35:29 41
4 Perth Azzurri 22 10 8 4 53:41 38
5 Fremantle City 22 9 8 5 44:34 35
6 Stirling Macedonia 22 9 3 10 40:38 30
7 Western Knights 22 6 7 9 38:40 25
8 Sorrento 22 7 3 12 22:42 24
9 Dianella White Eagle 22 6 5 11 32:43 23
10 Perth Glory U23 22 5 6 11 41:45 21
11 Armadale 22 5 6 11 40:56 21
12 Balcatta 22 4 5 13 29:54 17
Promotion - NPL Western Australia (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL Western Australia (Relegation)
Relegation - WA State League 2027 (Main)