Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Perth Glory U23 vs Perth RedStar

Australia Australia

NPL Western Australia Sam Kerr Football Centre, Perth
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Sollitt L.
45' Event
George M.
90' Event
Smith G.

AI Match Summary

Perth RedStar in this NPL Western Australia matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Perth RedStar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Perth Glory U23
30%
Draws
23%
Perth RedStar
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Perth Glory U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Perth RedStar have won more games recently than Perth Glory U23.
  • Perth Glory U23 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular NPL Western Australia form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Perth RedStar have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Perth Glory U23 Clean Sheet 16%
Perth RedStar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Perth Glory U23 Perth RedStar
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 16
Draws 6 6
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.97 1.55
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 NPL Western Australia
Perth Glory U23 vs Perth RedStar
1:2
Mar 21, 2026 NPL Western Australia
Perth RedStar vs Perth Glory U23
2:1
Feb 21, 2026 Club Friendly
Perth Glory U23 vs Perth RedStar
2:3
Sep 6, 2025 NPL Western Australia
Perth RedStar vs Perth Glory U23
2:3
Jul 12, 2025 NPL Western Australia
Perth Glory U23 vs Perth RedStar
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Perth Glory U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sollitt L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Perth RedStar Compare

Top Goalscorer George M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Smith G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Perth Glory U23 84 / 100
Perth RedStar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Perth Glory U23 Perth RedStar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Perth Glory U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Perth Glory U23 scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Perth RedStar let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Perth Glory U23 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Perth Glory U23 VS Perth RedStar
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Perth Glory U23

(Home)
22 Aug
Bayswater
2 : 0
Perth Glory U23
15 Aug
Perth Glory U23
5 : 3
Fremantle City
01 Aug
Western Knights
2 : 2
Perth Glory U23
25 Jul
Perth Glory U23
4 : 0
Dianella White Eagle
18 Jul
Perth Glory U23
2 : 2
Armadale
Page 1 of 6

Perth RedStar

(Away)
04 Sept
Perth RedStar
1 : 3
Perth Azzurri
22 Aug
Armadale
0 : 4
Perth RedStar
15 Aug
Perth Azzurri
5 : 2
Perth RedStar
01 Aug
Sorrento
1 : 0
Perth RedStar
25 Jul
Perth RedStar
0 : 0
Balcatta
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayswater 22 14 5 3 60:27 47
2 Olympic Kingsway 22 12 5 5 44:29 41
3 Perth RedStar 22 12 5 5 35:29 41
4 Perth Azzurri 22 10 8 4 53:41 38
5 Fremantle City 22 9 8 5 44:34 35
6 Stirling Macedonia 22 9 3 10 40:38 30
7 Western Knights 22 6 7 9 38:40 25
8 Sorrento 22 7 3 12 22:42 24
9 Dianella White Eagle 22 6 5 11 32:43 23
10 Perth Glory U23 22 5 6 11 41:45 21
11 Armadale 22 5 6 11 40:56 21
12 Balcatta 22 4 5 13 29:54 17
Promotion - NPL Western Australia (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL Western Australia (Relegation)
Relegation - WA State League 2027 (Main)