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Perth Glory vs Auckland FC

Australia Australia

A-League 2025/2026 HBF Park, Perth
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Sub
Pijnaker N. In: Girdwood-Reich J.
Out: Pijnaker N.
42' Event
Randall J.
Assist: May G.
46'
Sub
Ostler T. In: Colakovski S.
Out: Ostler T.

AI Match Summary

Perth Glory in this A-League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Perth Glory.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Perth Glory
15%
Draws
32%
Auckland FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Perth Glory

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Auckland FC have won more games recently than Perth Glory.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Perth Glory taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Perth Glory Clean Sheet 20%
Auckland FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Perth Glory Auckland FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 12
Draws 7 9
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.3 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 A-League
Auckland FC vs Perth Glory
2:2
Jan 31, 2026 A-League
Perth Glory vs Auckland FC
2:1
Apr 27, 2025 A-League
Auckland FC vs Perth Glory
1:0
Jan 11, 2025 A-League
Perth Glory vs Auckland FC
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Perth Glory Compare

Top Goalscorer Kucharski J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Auckland FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Randall J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Perth Glory 67 / 100
Auckland FC 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Perth Glory Auckland FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Perth Glory Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Perth Glory found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Auckland FC has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Perth Glory has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Perth Glory VS Auckland FC
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Perth Glory

(Home)
27 Sept
Perth Glory
2 : 0
Adelaide Utd
21 Jul
Queensland Lions
2 : 1
Perth Glory
25 Apr
Perth Glory
2 : 1
Brisbane Roar
18 Apr
Sydney FC
0 : 0
Perth Glory
12 Apr
Perth Glory
3 : 1
Macarthur FC
Page 1 of 6

Auckland FC

(Away)
19 Sept
Auckland FC
1 : 3
Western Sydney Wanderers
26 Aug
Al Ahli SC
1 : 0
Auckland FC
26 Jul
Auckland FC
0 : 2
Tottenham
23 May
Auckland FC
1 : 0
Sydney FC
15 May
Adelaide Utd
0 : 3
Auckland FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Newcastle Jets 26 15 3 8 55:39 48
2 Adelaide Utd 26 12 7 7 46:36 43
3 Auckland FC 26 11 9 6 42:29 42
4 Melbourne Victory 26 11 7 8 44:33 40
5 Sydney FC 26 11 6 9 33:25 39
6 Melbourne City 26 10 8 8 33:33 38
7 Macarthur FC 26 9 7 10 37:44 34
8 Wellington Phoenix 26 9 6 11 36:48 33
9 Central Coast 26 8 8 10 35:42 32
10 Perth Glory 26 8 7 11 32:39 31
11 Brisbane Roar 26 6 8 12 27:36 26
12 Western Sydney Wanderers 26 5 6 15 27:43 21
Promotion - A-League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - A-League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)