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Perth Glory vs Brisbane Roar

Australia Australia

A-League 2025/2026 HBF Park, Perth
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
De Abreu G.
9'
Klein S.
19' Event
Taggart A.
Assist: Ostler T.

AI Match Summary

Brisbane Roar in this A-League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Brisbane Roar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Perth Glory
15%
Draws
32%
Brisbane Roar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Perth Glory

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Brisbane Roar have won more games recently than Perth Glory.
  • Win probability leans Perth Glory's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Perth Glory Clean Sheet 68%
Brisbane Roar Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Perth Glory Brisbane Roar
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 10 11
Draws 7 7
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.3 1.82
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 A-League
Perth Glory vs Brisbane Roar
2:1
Feb 28, 2026 A-League
Brisbane Roar vs Perth Glory
1:1
Jan 16, 2026 A-League
Perth Glory vs Brisbane Roar
1:2
Mar 15, 2025 A-League
Perth Glory vs Brisbane Roar
1:3
Dec 21, 2024 A-League
Brisbane Roar vs Perth Glory
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Perth Glory Compare

Top Goalscorer Taggart A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Brisbane Roar Compare

Top Goalscorer Klein S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Perth Glory 77 / 100
Brisbane Roar 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Perth Glory Brisbane Roar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Perth Glory Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Perth Glory scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Brisbane Roar let in goals in 70% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Perth Glory has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Perth Glory VS Brisbane Roar
1.38 Goals Scored 2.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Perth Glory

(Home)
27 Sept
Perth Glory
2 : 0
Adelaide Utd
21 Jul
Queensland Lions
2 : 1
Perth Glory
25 Apr
Perth Glory
2 : 1
Brisbane Roar
18 Apr
Sydney FC
0 : 0
Perth Glory
12 Apr
Perth Glory
3 : 1
Macarthur FC
Page 1 of 6

Brisbane Roar

(Away)
04 Sept
Olympic FC
3 : 4
Brisbane Roar
29 Aug
Persija Jakarta
4 : 0
Brisbane Roar
27 Aug
Dewa United
4 : 0
Brisbane Roar
09 Aug
Brisbane Roar
2 : 4
Sydney FC
30 Jul
Sydney Olympic
0 : 3
Brisbane Roar
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Newcastle Jets 26 15 3 8 55:39 48
2 Adelaide Utd 26 12 7 7 46:36 43
3 Auckland FC 26 11 9 6 42:29 42
4 Melbourne Victory 26 11 7 8 44:33 40
5 Sydney FC 26 11 6 9 33:25 39
6 Melbourne City 26 10 8 8 33:33 38
7 Macarthur FC 26 9 7 10 37:44 34
8 Wellington Phoenix 26 9 6 11 36:48 33
9 Central Coast 26 8 8 10 35:42 32
10 Perth Glory 26 8 7 11 32:39 31
11 Brisbane Roar 26 6 8 12 27:36 26
12 Western Sydney Wanderers 26 5 6 15 27:43 21
Promotion - A-League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - A-League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)