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Perth RedStar vs Sorrento

Australia Australia

NPL Western Australia RedStar Arena, Joondalup
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Black A.
37' Event
Murray L.
51' Event
Kim K.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Western Australia game between Perth RedStar and Sorrento finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Perth RedStar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Perth RedStar
20%
Draws
40%
Sorrento
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Perth RedStar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Perth RedStar a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular NPL Western Australia form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Perth RedStar Clean Sheet 20%
Sorrento Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Perth RedStar Sorrento
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 17 9
Draws 6 4
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 1.59 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 NPL Western Australia
Sorrento vs Perth RedStar
1:0
May 8, 2026 NPL Western Australia
Perth RedStar vs Sorrento
4:1
Aug 23, 2025 NPL Western Australia
Perth RedStar vs Sorrento
1:0
May 24, 2025 NPL Western Australia
Sorrento vs Perth RedStar
0:1
Jun 24, 2023 NPL Western Australia
Perth RedStar vs Sorrento
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Perth RedStar Compare

Top Goalscorer Black A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Murray L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Sorrento Compare

Top Goalscorer Kim K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Perth RedStar 76 / 100
Sorrento 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Perth RedStar Sorrento

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Perth RedStar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Perth RedStar found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (32 games).

Defensive concern: Sorrento conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Sorrento's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Perth RedStar VS Sorrento
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Perth RedStar

(Home)
04 Sept
Perth RedStar
1 : 3
Perth Azzurri
22 Aug
Armadale
0 : 4
Perth RedStar
15 Aug
Perth Azzurri
5 : 2
Perth RedStar
01 Aug
Sorrento
1 : 0
Perth RedStar
25 Jul
Perth RedStar
0 : 0
Balcatta
Page 1 of 7

Sorrento

(Away)
22 Aug
Perth Azzurri
3 : 1
Sorrento
15 Aug
Olympic Kingsway
1 : 1
Sorrento
08 Aug
Bayswater
7 : 1
Sorrento
01 Aug
Sorrento
1 : 0
Perth RedStar
11 Jul
Sorrento
0 : 2
Fremantle City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayswater 22 14 5 3 60:27 47
2 Olympic Kingsway 22 12 5 5 44:29 41
3 Perth RedStar 22 12 5 5 35:29 41
4 Perth Azzurri 22 10 8 4 53:41 38
5 Fremantle City 22 9 8 5 44:34 35
6 Stirling Macedonia 22 9 3 10 40:38 30
7 Western Knights 22 6 7 9 38:40 25
8 Sorrento 22 7 3 12 22:42 24
9 Dianella White Eagle 22 6 5 11 32:43 23
10 Perth Glory U23 22 5 6 11 41:45 21
11 Armadale 22 5 6 11 40:56 21
12 Balcatta 22 4 5 13 29:54 17
Promotion - NPL Western Australia (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL Western Australia (Relegation)
Relegation - WA State League 2027 (Main)