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Perth RedStar vs Western Knights

Australia Australia

NPL Western Australia RedStar Arena, Joondalup
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Smith G.
82' Event
Hough T.
90' Event
Pike A.

AI Match Summary

Perth RedStar in this NPL Western Australia matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Perth RedStar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Perth RedStar
35%
Draws
28%
Western Knights
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Perth RedStar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Perth RedStar have won more games recently than Western Knights.
  • 28% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Perth RedStar Clean Sheet 16%
Western Knights Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Perth RedStar Western Knights
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 16 9
Draws 6 7
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.55 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 NPL Western Australia
Perth RedStar vs Western Knights
2:1
Mar 28, 2026 NPL Western Australia
Western Knights vs Perth RedStar
4:2
Jun 14, 2025 NPL Western Australia
Perth RedStar vs Western Knights
2:0
Mar 15, 2025 NPL Western Australia
Western Knights vs Perth RedStar
1:1
Aug 17, 2024 NPL Western Australia
Western Knights vs Perth RedStar
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Perth RedStar Compare

Top Goalscorer Smith G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hough T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Western Knights Compare

Top Goalscorer Pike A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Perth RedStar 31 / 100
Western Knights 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Perth RedStar Western Knights

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Western Knights Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Western Knights's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Perth RedStar found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Perth RedStar has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Perth RedStar VS Western Knights
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Perth RedStar

(Home)
04 Sept
Perth RedStar
1 : 3
Perth Azzurri
22 Aug
Armadale
0 : 4
Perth RedStar
15 Aug
Perth Azzurri
5 : 2
Perth RedStar
01 Aug
Sorrento
1 : 0
Perth RedStar
25 Jul
Perth RedStar
0 : 0
Balcatta
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Western Knights

(Away)
22 Aug
Stirling Macedonia
3 : 1
Western Knights
15 Aug
Western Knights
0 : 0
Balcatta
01 Aug
Western Knights
2 : 2
Perth Glory U23
25 Jul
Western Knights
1 : 2
Olympic Kingsway
17 Jul
Perth Azzurri
3 : 3
Western Knights
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayswater 22 14 5 3 60:27 47
2 Olympic Kingsway 22 12 5 5 44:29 41
3 Perth RedStar 22 12 5 5 35:29 41
4 Perth Azzurri 22 10 8 4 53:41 38
5 Fremantle City 22 9 8 5 44:34 35
6 Stirling Macedonia 22 9 3 10 40:38 30
7 Western Knights 22 6 7 9 38:40 25
8 Sorrento 22 7 3 12 22:42 24
9 Dianella White Eagle 22 6 5 11 32:43 23
10 Perth Glory U23 22 5 6 11 41:45 21
11 Armadale 22 5 6 11 40:56 21
12 Balcatta 22 4 5 13 29:54 17
Promotion - NPL Western Australia (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL Western Australia (Relegation)
Relegation - WA State League 2027 (Main)