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Peru U17 W vs Ecuador U17 W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South America South America

South American Championship Women U17 2025
Peru U17 W Logo

Peru U17 W

1 - 4
FT
Ecuador U17 W Logo

Ecuador U17 W

Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Salazar A.
Assist: Garcia M.
45' Event
Villacis K.
Assist: Delgado E.
48' Event
Valverde J.
Assist: Briones V.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ecuador U17 W in this South American Championship Women U17 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ecuador U17 W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Peru U17 W
30%
Draws
58%
Ecuador U17 W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ecuador U17 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ecuador U17 W lately — more wins on the board than Peru U17 W.
  • Win probability leans Ecuador U17 W's way, sitting at 80%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this South American Championship Women U17 2025 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Peru U17 W Clean Sheet 10%
Ecuador U17 W Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Peru U17 W Ecuador U17 W
Matches Played 31 34
Wins 4 15
Draws 1 5
Losses 26 14
Goals Scored 0.42 1.68
Goals Conceded 3.26 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2026 South American Championship Women U17
Ecuador U17 W vs Peru U17 W
1:1
May 21, 2025 South American Championship Women U17
Peru U17 W vs Ecuador U17 W
1:4
May 3, 2025 South American Championship Women U17
Peru U17 W vs Ecuador U17 W
1:3
Mar 5, 2022 South American Championship Women U17
Peru U17 W vs Ecuador U17 W
1:3
Mar 14, 2018 South American Championship Women U17
Ecuador U17 W vs Peru U17 W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Peru U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Salazar A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Ecuador U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Villacis K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Valverde J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Peru U17 W 10 / 100
Ecuador U17 W 76 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Peru U17 W Ecuador U17 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ecuador U17 W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Peru U17 W's goal record stands at 29% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Ecuador U17 W let in goals in 59% of their last 34 matches.

Peru U17 W has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Peru U17 W VS Ecuador U17 W
0.38 Goals Scored 1
3.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Peru U17 W

(Home)
03 May
Peru U17 W
0 : 3
Venezuela U17 W
01 May
Peru U17 W
0 : 5
Brazil U17 W
29 Apr
Ecuador U17 W
1 : 1
Peru U17 W
25 Apr
Uruguay U17 W
3 : 0
Peru U17 W
24 May
Peru U17 W
0 : 3
Chile U17 W
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Ecuador U17 W

(Away)
09 May
Chile U17 W
2 : 1
Ecuador U17 W
03 May
Brazil U17 W
4 : 0
Ecuador U17 W
01 May
Ecuador U17 W
0 : 0
Uruguay U17 W
29 Apr
Ecuador U17 W
1 : 1
Peru U17 W
27 Apr
Venezuela U17 W
0 : 1
Ecuador U17 W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paraguay U17 W 5 3 2 0 11:3 11
2 Brazil U17 W 5 2 3 0 8:3 9
3 Ecuador U17 W 5 2 2 1 6:2 8
4 Colombia U17 W 5 2 1 2 4:2 7
5 Chile U17 W 5 1 2 2 6:6 5
6 Peru U17 W 5 0 0 5 2:21 0
Promotion - World Cup Women U17 2025 (Main)