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Peru U20 vs Paraguay U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South America South America

South American Championship U20 Estadio Metropolitano de Cabudare, Barquisimeto
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Amasifuen N.
20' Event
Goicochea Del Carpio J. P.
26' Event
Kmet L.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Paraguay U20 in this South American Championship U20 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Paraguay U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Peru U20
20%
Draws
60%
Paraguay U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Paraguay U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Paraguay U20 have won more games recently than Peru U20.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Peru U20 Clean Sheet 68%
Paraguay U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Peru U20 Paraguay U20
Matches Played 26 27
Wins 3 11
Draws 10 5
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 0.92 1.22
Goals Conceded 1.65 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 23, 2025 South American Championship U20
Peru U20 vs Paraguay U20
0:0
Jan 23, 2025 South American Championship U20
Peru U20 vs Paraguay U20
1:2
Jan 23, 2023 South American Championship U20
Paraguay U20 vs Peru U20
1:0
Oct 4, 2022 South American Games U19
Paraguay U20 vs Peru U20
6:0
Sep 25, 2022 Friendly International
Paraguay U20 vs Peru U20
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Peru U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Goicochea Del Carpio J. P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Paraguay U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Peru U20 41 / 100
Paraguay U20 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Peru U20 Paraguay U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Peru U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Peru U20 found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (26 games).

Paraguay U20 let in goals in 78% of their last 27 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Paraguay U20 has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Peru U20 VS Paraguay U20
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Peru U20

(Home)
06 Oct
Ecuador U20
1 : 1
Peru U20
03 Oct
Ecuador U20
3 : 2
Peru U20
31 Mar
Chile U20
1 : 1
Peru U20
29 Mar
Chile U20
2 : 1
Peru U20
29 Jan
Uruguay U20
2 : 0
Peru U20
Page 1 of 6

Paraguay U20

(Away)
27 Aug
Uruguay U20
2 : 3
Paraguay U20
25 Aug
Uruguay U20
0 : 2
Paraguay U20
31 Mar
Brazil U20
3 : 1
Paraguay U20
28 Mar
Brazil U20
3 : 1
Paraguay U20
08 Oct
Paraguay U20
0 : 1
Norway U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uruguay U20 4 3 0 1 10:2 9
2 Paraguay U20 4 3 0 1 5:8 9
3 Chile U20 4 2 0 2 7:7 6
4 Venezuela U20 4 2 0 2 6:3 6
5 Peru U20 4 0 0 4 3:11 0
Promotion - South American Championship U20 (Final Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colombia U20 4 3 1 0 6:3 10
2 Argentina U20 4 2 2 0 8:1 8
3 Brazil U20 4 2 0 2 5:10 6
4 Ecuador U20 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
5 Bolivia U20 4 0 0 4 4:8 0
Promotion - South American Championship U20 (Final Group)