Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Peru vs Paraguay

World World

World Championship 2026 Estadio Nacional de Lima, Lima
Peru Logo

Peru

0 - 1
FT
Paraguay Logo

Paraguay

Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Velazquez G.
46'
Sub
Romero A. In: Galarza M.
Out: Romero A.
46'
Sub
Martinez R. In: Kaku
Out: Martinez R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Paraguay in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Paraguay.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Peru
20%
Draws
40%
Paraguay
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Paraguay have won more games recently than Peru.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Peru Clean Sheet 15%
Paraguay Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Peru Paraguay
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 12
Draws 9 8
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 0.77 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2025 World Championship
Peru vs Paraguay
0:1
Jun 8, 2024 Friendly International
Peru vs Paraguay
0:0
Sep 7, 2023 World Championship
Paraguay vs Peru
0:0
Nov 17, 2022 Friendly International
Peru vs Paraguay
1:0
Mar 29, 2022 World Championship
Peru vs Paraguay
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Peru Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Paraguay Compare

Top Goalscorer Galarza M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Peru 31 / 100
Paraguay 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Peru Paraguay

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paraguay Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Peru has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Peru's goal record stands at 47% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Paraguay let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 0.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Peru VS Paraguay
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Peru

(Home)
09 Jun
Peru
1 : 3
Spain
06 Jun
Haiti
1 : 2
Peru
31 Mar
Peru
2 : 2
Honduras
28 Mar
Senegal
2 : 0
Peru
21 Dec
Peru
2 : 0
Bolivia
Page 1 of 6

Paraguay

(Away)
04 Jul
Paraguay
0 : 1
France
29 Jun
Germany
1 : 2
Paraguay
26 Jun
Paraguay
0 : 0
Australia
20 Jun
Turkey
0 : 1
Paraguay
13 Jun
USA
4 : 1
Paraguay
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Argentina 18 12 2 4 31:10 38
2 Ecuador 18 8 8 2 14:5 29
3 Colombia 18 7 7 4 28:18 28
4 Uruguay 18 7 7 4 22:12 28
5 Brazil 18 8 4 6 24:17 28
6 Paraguay 18 7 7 4 14:10 28
7 Bolivia 18 6 2 10 17:35 20
8 Venezuela 18 4 6 8 18:28 18
9 Peru 18 2 6 10 6:21 12
10 Chile 18 2 5 11 9:27 11
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)