Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Peru W vs Bolivia W

South America South America

CONMEBOL Nations League Women Estadio Miguel Grau, Callao
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Garcia A.
(Penalty)
46'
Sub
Bilcape R. In: Arevalo S.
Out: Bilcape R.
57' Event
Campoverde L.
Assist: Thorisson A.

AI Match Summary

The CONMEBOL Nations League Women game between Peru W and Bolivia W finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Peru W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Peru W
20%
Draws
0%
Bolivia W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Peru W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Peru W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Peru W a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Peru W here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Peru W Clean Sheet 68%
Bolivia W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Peru W Bolivia W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 1
Draws 2 2
Losses 19 26
Goals Scored 1.03 0.38
Goals Conceded 2.03 3.97
Expected Goals (xG) 3.13 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2026 CONMEBOL Nations League Women
Peru W vs Bolivia W
4:0
Oct 29, 2024 Friendly International Women
Peru W vs Bolivia W
2:1
Oct 26, 2024 Friendly International Women
Peru W vs Bolivia W
1:0
Feb 28, 2024 Friendly International Women
Bolivia W vs Peru W
0:1
Feb 26, 2024 Friendly International Women
Bolivia W vs Peru W
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Peru W Compare

Top Goalscorer Campoverde L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cagnina G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.41
Avg xA / game 1.56

Bolivia W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Peru W 95 / 100
Bolivia W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Peru W Bolivia W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Peru W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Bolivia W conceded in 97% of 29 recent games.

Bolivia W's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Peru W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Peru W VS Bolivia W
0.75 Goals Scored 0.25
2.63 Goals Conceded 5.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Peru W

(Home)
09 Jun
Peru W
4 : 0
Bolivia W
05 Jun
Argentina W
1 : 1
Peru W
18 Apr
Ecuador W
1 : 0
Peru W
14 Apr
Peru W
1 : 1
Paraguay W
10 Apr
Peru W
2 : 1
Uruguay W
Page 1 of 6

Bolivia W

(Away)
09 Jun
Peru W
4 : 0
Bolivia W
05 Jun
Bolivia W
0 : 8
Paraguay W
18 Apr
Venezuela W
8 : 0
Bolivia W
14 Apr
Bolivia W
1 : 2
Uruguay W
02 Dec
Argentina W
8 : 0
Bolivia W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colombia W 8 6 2 0 16:7 20
2 Argentina W 8 5 3 0 18:5 18
3 Venezuela W 8 3 3 2 19:6 12
4 Ecuador W 8 3 2 3 8:6 11
5 Peru W 8 3 2 3 12:15 11
6 Paraguay W 8 3 1 4 17:11 10
7 Chile W 8 3 1 4 11:9 10
8 Uruguay W 8 1 3 4 7:11 6
9 Bolivia W 8 0 1 7 2:40 1
Promotion - World Cup Women (Main)
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion)