Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Peru W vs Uruguay W

South America South America

CONMEBOL Nations League Women Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Gonzalez P.
(Penalty)
31'
Felipe C.
33' Event
Garcia A.
Assist: Molina T.

AI Match Summary

Peru W in this CONMEBOL Nations League Women matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Peru W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Peru W
30%
Draws
23%
Uruguay W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Peru W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Uruguay W have won more games recently than Peru W.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Peru W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Uruguay W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Peru W Clean Sheet 10%
Uruguay W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Peru W Uruguay W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 10
Draws 2 8
Losses 19 12
Goals Scored 1.03 1.17
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2026 CONMEBOL Nations League Women
Peru W vs Uruguay W
2:1
Jul 18, 2025 Copa América Women
Uruguay W vs Peru W
1:0
Apr 10, 2023 Friendly International Women
Uruguay W vs Peru W
3:0
Apr 7, 2023 Friendly International Women
Uruguay W vs Peru W
6:1
Jul 19, 2022 Copa América Women
Peru W vs Uruguay W
0:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Peru W Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Arevalo S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Uruguay W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Peru W 74 / 100
Uruguay W 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Peru W Uruguay W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Peru W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Uruguay W let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Peru W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Uruguay W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Peru W VS Uruguay W
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Peru W

(Home)
09 Jun
Peru W
4 : 0
Bolivia W
05 Jun
Argentina W
1 : 1
Peru W
18 Apr
Ecuador W
1 : 0
Peru W
14 Apr
Peru W
1 : 1
Paraguay W
10 Apr
Peru W
2 : 1
Uruguay W
Page 1 of 6

Uruguay W

(Away)
09 Jun
Uruguay W
1 : 1
Venezuela W
05 Jun
Colombia W
1 : 0
Uruguay W
18 Apr
Uruguay W
1 : 3
Chile W
14 Apr
Bolivia W
1 : 2
Uruguay W
10 Apr
Peru W
2 : 1
Uruguay W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colombia W 8 6 2 0 16:7 20
2 Argentina W 8 5 3 0 18:5 18
3 Venezuela W 8 3 3 2 19:6 12
4 Ecuador W 8 3 2 3 8:6 11
5 Peru W 8 3 2 3 12:15 11
6 Paraguay W 8 3 1 4 17:11 10
7 Chile W 8 3 1 4 11:9 10
8 Uruguay W 8 1 3 4 7:11 6
9 Bolivia W 8 0 1 7 2:40 1
Promotion - World Cup Women (Main)
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion)