Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Perugia U19 vs Cesena U19

Italy Italy

Primavera 2 2023/2024
Perugia U19 Logo

Perugia U19

1 - 4
FT
Cesena U19 Logo

Cesena U19

Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Tosku F.
57' Event
Amadori N.
78' Event
Castorri G.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Primavera 2 2023/2024 game between Perugia U19 and Cesena U19 finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cesena U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Perugia U19
20%
Draws
32%
Cesena U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Perugia U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cesena U19 come out ahead of Perugia U19 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Perugia U19's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Cesena U19 here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Perugia U19 Clean Sheet 20%
Cesena U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Perugia U19 Cesena U19
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 19 21
Draws 4 6
Losses 9 3
Goals Scored 1.84 2.97
Goals Conceded 1.09 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2024 Primavera 2
Perugia U19 vs Cesena U19
1:4
Dec 9, 2023 Primavera 2
Cesena U19 vs Perugia U19
4:1
Mar 12, 2022 Primavera 2
Perugia U19 vs Cesena U19
0:2
Oct 30, 2021 Primavera 2
Cesena U19 vs Perugia U19
3:2
Sep 15, 2021 Coppa Italia Primavera
Cesena U19 vs Perugia U19
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Perugia U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ronchi C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Cesena U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Amadori N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Tosku F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Perugia U19 85 / 100
Cesena U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Perugia U19 Cesena U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Perugia U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Perugia U19 found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (32 games).

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Cesena U19 has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Perugia U19 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Perugia U19 VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Perugia U19

(Home)
19 Sept
Salernitana U19
0 : 6
Perugia U19
12 Sept
Perugia U19
3 : 0
Monopoli U19
04 Sept
Pisa U19
2 : 3
Perugia U19
23 May
Perugia U19
1 : 2
Modena U19
16 May
Perugia U19
2 : 0
Reggiana U19
Page 1 of 7

Cesena U19

(Away)
07 Aug
Cesena U19
2 : 4
Forli FC
27 Jul
Cesena U19
1 : 1
Imolese
16 May
Cremonese U19
1 : 2
Cesena U19
11 May
Salernitana U19
1 : 5
Cesena U19
04 May
Cesena U19
1 : 1
Entella U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cremonese U19 30 23 6 1 84:32 75
2 Parma U19 30 17 5 8 60:37 56
3 Venezia U19 30 15 9 6 67:39 54
4 Udinese U19 30 16 3 11 60:45 51
5 AlbinoLeffe U19 30 15 4 11 49:51 49
6 Como U19 30 13 4 13 59:58 43
7 Vicenza U19 30 11 10 9 37:40 43
8 Spal U19 30 11 7 12 44:46 40
9 Sudtirol U19 30 11 6 13 43:53 39
10 Padova U19 30 11 6 13 45:57 39
11 Reggiana U19 30 10 6 14 27:36 36
12 Brescia U19 30 10 5 15 53:46 35
13 Renate U19 30 10 5 15 31:39 35
14 FeralpiSalo U19 30 7 7 16 39:63 28
15 Cittadella U19 30 6 8 16 41:59 26
16 Alessandria U19 30 5 7 18 30:68 22
Promotion - Primavera 1 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2023/2024 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2023/2024 (Play Out)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cesena U19 30 22 7 1 95:29 73
2 Benevento U19 30 17 9 4 66:42 60
3 Napoli U19 30 16 6 8 46:29 54
4 Pisa U19 30 14 6 10 45:37 48
5 Ascoli U19 30 14 5 11 49:41 47
6 Entella U19 30 12 9 9 45:36 45
7 Cosenza U19 30 9 13 8 34:37 40
8 Palermo U19 30 10 8 12 35:39 38
9 Perugia U19 30 10 8 12 52:57 38
10 Bari U19 30 10 7 13 54:69 37
11 Spezia U19 30 8 11 11 54:51 35
12 Salernitana U19 30 7 12 11 34:53 33
13 Pescara U19 30 7 10 13 55:61 31
14 Ternana U19 30 8 7 15 30:46 31
15 Monopoli U19 30 6 5 19 25:59 23
16 Crotone U19 30 5 7 18 31:64 22
Promotion - Primavera 1 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2023/2024 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2023/2024 (Play Out)