Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Perugia U19 vs Monopoli U19

Italy Italy

Primavera 2
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Bevanati M.
37' Event
Perugini M.
57' Event
Vanni D.

AI Match Summary

The Primavera 2 game between Perugia U19 and Monopoli U19 finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Perugia U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Perugia U19
20%
Draws
24%
Monopoli U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Perugia U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Perugia U19 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Perugia U19 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Primavera 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Perugia U19 Clean Sheet 16%
Monopoli U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Perugia U19 Monopoli U19
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 19 10
Draws 5 7
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.9 1.42
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Primavera 2
Perugia U19 vs Monopoli U19
3:0
Feb 7, 2026 Primavera 2
Monopoli U19 vs Perugia U19
0:1
Nov 8, 2025 Primavera 2
Perugia U19 vs Monopoli U19
1:2
Feb 8, 2025 Primavera 2
Perugia U19 vs Monopoli U19
0:0
Oct 19, 2024 Primavera 2
Monopoli U19 vs Perugia U19
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Perugia U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bevanati M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Perugini M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Monopoli U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Perugia U19 84 / 100
Monopoli U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Perugia U19 Monopoli U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Perugia U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Perugia U19 found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

Monopoli U19 has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Perugia U19 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Perugia U19 VS Monopoli U19
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Perugia U19

(Home)
19 Sept
Salernitana U19
0 : 6
Perugia U19
12 Sept
Perugia U19
3 : 0
Monopoli U19
04 Sept
Pisa U19
2 : 3
Perugia U19
23 May
Perugia U19
1 : 2
Modena U19
16 May
Perugia U19
2 : 0
Reggiana U19
Page 1 of 7

Monopoli U19

(Away)
19 Sept
Monopoli U19
2 : 2
Pescara U19
12 Sept
Perugia U19
3 : 0
Monopoli U19
05 Sept
Monopoli U19
4 : 0
Cosenza U19
22 Aug
Monopoli U19
2 : 3
Union Brescia U19
09 May
Monopoli U19
1 : 1
Cosenza U19
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Renate U19 3 2 1 0 8:3 7
2 Vicenza U19 3 2 1 0 6:1 7
3 Cremonese U19 3 2 0 1 8:5 6
4 Entella U19 3 2 0 1 8:5 6
5 Padova U19 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
6 Mantova U19 3 1 2 0 4:1 5
7 Sampdoria U19 3 1 2 0 7:5 5
8 Modena U19 3 1 1 1 10:8 4
9 Venezia U19 3 1 1 1 7:6 4
10 Union Brescia U19 3 1 1 1 6:6 4
11 Cittadella U19 3 1 0 2 8:10 3
12 Udinese U19 3 1 0 2 5:10 3
13 Sudtirol U19 3 0 2 1 0:3 2
14 Reggiana U19 3 0 1 2 1:4 1
15 Pro Vercelli U19 3 0 1 2 0:6 1
16 Lecco U19 3 0 1 2 1:8 1
Promotion - Primavera 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 (Play Out)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Perugia U19 3 3 0 0 12:2 9
2 Catanzaro U19 3 3 0 0 11:2 9
3 Avellino U19 3 3 0 0 8:3 9
4 Bari U19 3 2 1 0 8:3 7
5 Palermo U19 3 2 1 0 8:5 7
6 Benevento U19 3 2 0 1 9:3 6
7 Spezia U19 3 1 1 1 6:4 4
8 Monopoli U19 3 1 1 1 6:5 4
9 Pescara U19 3 1 1 1 6:6 4
10 Latina U19 3 1 0 2 5:6 3
11 Pisa U19 3 1 0 2 5:8 3
12 Ascoli U19 3 0 2 1 4:5 2
13 Napoli U19 3 0 1 2 5:8 1
14 Frosinone U19 3 0 0 3 2:12 0
15 Cosenza U19 3 0 0 3 1:11 0
16 Salernitana U19 3 0 0 3 1:14 0
Promotion - Primavera 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 (Play Out)