Sport Picks
Perugia vs Campobasso
Italy
Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 Stadio Renato Curi, Perugia 
Match Events
9'
9'
Sub
Stramaccioni D. In: Riccardi D.
Out: Stramaccioni D.
28'
28'
Gargiulo M.
32'
32'
Megelaitis L.
AI Match Summary
The Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 game between Perugia and Campobasso finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Campobasso.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
24%
35%
41%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Campobasso
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
24%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Campobasso come out ahead of Perugia on wins alone.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Perugia Clean Sheet 68%
Campobasso Clean Sheet 19%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Perugia | Campobasso |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 14 |
| Draws | 12 | 8 |
| Losses | 9 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 1.28 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.11 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 18, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Perugia vs Campobasso
0:1
Dec 13, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Campobasso vs Perugia
1:0
Apr 23, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Campobasso vs Perugia
2:1
Dec 9, 2024 Serie C - Group B
Perugia vs Campobasso
2:1
Feb 5, 2012 Lega Pro C2/B
Perugia vs Campobasso
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Perugia Compare
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Campobasso Compare
Top Goalscorer Gargiulo M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Perugia 41 / 100
Campobasso 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Perugia Campobasso
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Perugia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Perugia found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).
Campobasso let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Perugia remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Perugia VS Campobasso
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Perugia
(Home) 02 Aug
Perugia
1 : 1 Grosseto
26 Apr
Forli FC
1 : 1 Perugia
18 Apr
Perugia
0 : 1 Campobasso
12 Apr
Ternana
2 : 2 Perugia
04 Apr
Perugia
2 : 2 Juventus U23
Page 1 of 6
02 Aug
Perugia
1 : 1 Grosseto
18 Apr
Perugia
0 : 1 Campobasso
04 Apr
Perugia
2 : 2 Juventus U23
20 Mar
Perugia
1 : 1 Sassari Torres
09 Mar
Perugia
2 : 1 US Pontedera
Page 1 of 3
Campobasso
(Away) 09 Aug
Juve Stabia
0 : 2 Campobasso
13 May
Potenza
3 : 1 Campobasso
10 May
Campobasso
0 : 3 Potenza
06 May
Campobasso
1 : 1 Pineto
26 Apr
Campobasso
1 : 0 Ascoli
Page 1 of 6
09 Aug
Juve Stabia
0 : 2 Campobasso
13 May
Potenza
3 : 1 Campobasso
18 Apr
Perugia
0 : 1 Campobasso
04 Apr
Pianese
0 : 2 Campobasso
14 Mar
Sambenedettese
0 : 1 Campobasso
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arezzo | 36 | 24 | 8 | 4 | 64:24 | 80 |
| 2 | Ascoli | 36 | 23 | 8 | 5 | 63:23 | 77 |
| 3 | Ravenna | 36 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 50:30 | 73 |
| 4 | Campobasso | 36 | 17 | 10 | 9 | 49:37 | 59 |
| 5 | Juventus U23 | 36 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 46:43 | 53 |
| 6 | Pianese | 36 | 11 | 17 | 8 | 37:34 | 50 |
| 7 | Pineto | 36 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 42:45 | 50 |
| 8 | Gubbio | 36 | 11 | 15 | 10 | 31:32 | 48 |
| 9 | Ternana | 36 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 44:40 | 48 |
| 10 | Vis Pesaro | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 38:36 | 46 |
| 11 | Livorno | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 39:51 | 43 |
| 12 | Forli FC | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 41:52 | 40 |
| 13 | Carpi | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 35:48 | 40 |
| 14 | Perugia | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 38:44 | 38 |
| 15 | Guidonia 1937 | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 30:36 | 38 |
| 16 | Sambenedettese | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 30:37 | 37 |
| 17 | Sassari Torres | 36 | 6 | 18 | 12 | 32:45 | 36 |
| 18 | Bra | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 37:54 | 32 |
| 19 | US Pontedera | 36 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 27:62 | 20 |
| 20 | Rimini | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)
