Sport Picks
Perugia vs Campobasso - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 Stadio Renato Curi, Perugia 
Match Events
9'
9'
Sub
Stramaccioni D. In: Riccardi D.
Out: Stramaccioni D.
28'
28'
Gargiulo M.
32'
32'
Megelaitis L.
AI Match Summary
The Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 game between Perugia and Campobasso finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Campobasso.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
30%
42%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Campobasso
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Campobasso come out ahead of Perugia on wins alone.
- Model gives Campobasso a 42% chance of winning this.
- Regular Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Perugia Clean Sheet 15%
Campobasso Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Perugia | Campobasso |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 15 |
| Draws | 10 | 6 |
| Losses | 9 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.11 | 1.46 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 18, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Perugia vs Campobasso
0:1
Dec 13, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Campobasso vs Perugia
1:0
Apr 23, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Campobasso vs Perugia
2:1
Dec 9, 2024 Serie C - Group B
Perugia vs Campobasso
2:1
Feb 5, 2012 Lega Pro C2/B
Perugia vs Campobasso
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Perugia Compare
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Campobasso Compare
Top Goalscorer Gargiulo M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Perugia 19 / 100
Campobasso 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Perugia Campobasso
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Campobasso Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Perugia found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).
Campobasso let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Perugia remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Perugia VS Campobasso
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Perugia
(Home) 03 Oct
Gubbio
1 : 3 Perugia
27 Sept
Perugia
1 : 0 Reggiana
20 Sept
Grosseto
2 : 0 Perugia
16 Sept
Perugia
0 : 3 Spezia
13 Sept
Ravenna
3 : 0 Perugia
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Perugia
1 : 0 Reggiana
16 Sept
Perugia
0 : 3 Spezia
06 Sept
Perugia
2 : 1 Pineto
23 Aug
Perugia
1 : 0 Ostiamare
15 Aug
Perugia
1 : 2 Vis Pesaro
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Campobasso
(Away) 04 Oct
Campobasso
1 : 1 Sassari Torres
26 Sept
Sambenedettese
1 : 2 Campobasso
20 Sept
Campobasso
2 : 2 Pineto
16 Sept
Grosseto
2 : 2 Campobasso
12 Sept
Vado
0 : 1 Campobasso
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26 Sept
Sambenedettese
1 : 2 Campobasso
16 Sept
Grosseto
2 : 2 Campobasso
12 Sept
Vado
0 : 1 Campobasso
29 Aug
Spezia
1 : 0 Campobasso
09 Aug
Juve Stabia
0 : 2 Campobasso
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arezzo | 36 | 24 | 8 | 4 | 64:24 | 80 |
| 2 | Ascoli | 36 | 23 | 8 | 5 | 63:23 | 77 |
| 3 | Ravenna | 36 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 50:30 | 73 |
| 4 | Campobasso | 36 | 17 | 10 | 9 | 49:37 | 59 |
| 5 | Juventus U23 | 36 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 46:43 | 53 |
| 6 | Pianese | 36 | 11 | 17 | 8 | 37:34 | 50 |
| 7 | Pineto | 36 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 42:45 | 50 |
| 8 | Gubbio | 36 | 11 | 15 | 10 | 31:32 | 48 |
| 9 | Ternana | 36 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 44:40 | 48 |
| 10 | Vis Pesaro | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 38:36 | 46 |
| 11 | Livorno | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 39:51 | 43 |
| 12 | Forli FC | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 41:52 | 40 |
| 13 | Carpi | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 35:48 | 40 |
| 14 | Perugia | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 38:44 | 38 |
| 15 | Guidonia 1937 | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 30:36 | 38 |
| 16 | Sambenedettese | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 30:37 | 37 |
| 17 | Sassari Torres | 36 | 6 | 18 | 12 | 32:45 | 36 |
| 18 | Bra | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 37:54 | 32 |
| 19 | US Pontedera | 36 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 27:62 | 20 |
| 20 | Rimini | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)
