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Perugia vs Grosseto - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
30' Event

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Perugia and Grosseto finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Perugia
20%
Draws
46%
Grosseto
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Grosseto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Perugia haven't matched Grosseto's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Grosseto a 46% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Perugia Clean Sheet 13%
Grosseto Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Perugia Grosseto
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 9 11
Draws 10 9
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.11 1.44
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Grosseto vs Perugia
2:0
Aug 2, 2026 Club Friendly
Perugia vs Grosseto
1:1
Jan 24, 2014 Lega Pro C1/B
Perugia vs Grosseto
3:2
Dec 18, 2013 Coppa Italia Serie C
Perugia vs Grosseto
0:2
Sep 22, 2013 Lega Pro C1/B
Grosseto vs Perugia
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Perugia 11 / 100
Grosseto 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Perugia Grosseto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Grosseto Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Perugia found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Grosseto let in goals in 63% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Perugia went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Perugia VS Grosseto
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Perugia

(Home)
03 Oct
Gubbio
1 : 3
Perugia
27 Sept
Perugia
1 : 0
Reggiana
20 Sept
Grosseto
2 : 0
Perugia
16 Sept
Perugia
0 : 3
Spezia
13 Sept
Ravenna
3 : 0
Perugia
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Grosseto

(Away)
03 Oct
Grosseto
1 : 3
Sambenedettese
26 Sept
Pineto
0 : 4
Grosseto
20 Sept
Grosseto
2 : 0
Perugia
16 Sept
Grosseto
2 : 2
Campobasso
12 Sept
Pianese
0 : 0
Grosseto
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