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Perugia vs Grosseto

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
30' Event

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Perugia and Grosseto finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Perugia
35%
Draws
41%
Grosseto
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Grosseto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Perugia haven't matched Grosseto's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Perugia Clean Sheet 20%
Grosseto Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Perugia Grosseto
Matches Played 28 35
Wins 7 20
Draws 12 7
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.14 1.74
Goals Conceded 1.11 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.21
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Club Friendly
Perugia vs Grosseto
1:1
Jan 24, 2014 Lega Pro C1/B
Perugia vs Grosseto
3:2
Dec 18, 2013 Coppa Italia Serie C
Perugia vs Grosseto
0:2
Sep 22, 2013 Lega Pro C1/B
Grosseto vs Perugia
2:0
Apr 2, 2006 Lega Pro C1/B
Grosseto vs Perugia
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Perugia 32 / 100
Grosseto 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Perugia Grosseto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Perugia found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Grosseto let in goals in 60% of their last 35 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Perugia went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Perugia VS Grosseto
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.29 Goals Conceded 1.13
71% Over 1.5 63%
43% Over 2.5 38%
29% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Perugia

(Home)
15 Aug
Perugia
1 : 2
Vis Pesaro
02 Aug
Perugia
1 : 1
Grosseto
26 Apr
Forli FC
1 : 1
Perugia
18 Apr
Perugia
0 : 1
Campobasso
12 Apr
Ternana
2 : 2
Perugia
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Grosseto

(Away)
14 Aug
Grosseto
2 : 3
Guidonia 1937
08 Aug
Grosseto
3 : 1
Terranuova Traiana
05 Aug
Grosseto
2 : 2
Tau
02 Aug
Perugia
1 : 1
Grosseto
29 Jul
Grosseto
1 : 2
San Donato Tavarnelle
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