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Perugia vs Sassari Torres - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group B Stadio Renato Curi, Perugia
Mon, Nov 16, 2026
VS
07:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Perugia host Sassari Torres in the Serie C - Group B. This one's hard to separate. Sassari Torres have shipped 1.03 goals a game lately, while Perugia have conceded 1.29 and scored 1.21. Head-to-head, Perugia have won 1 to Sassari Torres's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 20, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 1.56) point toward Sassari Torres. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Perugia
30%
Draws
37%
Sassari Torres
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sassari Torres

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Sassari Torres have won more games recently than Perugia.
  • Perugia are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Serie C - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Perugia Clean Sheet 15%
Sassari Torres Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Perugia Sassari Torres
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 13
Draws 10 10
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.21 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Perugia vs Sassari Torres
1:1
Nov 15, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Sassari Torres vs Perugia
1:1
Mar 11, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Perugia vs Sassari Torres
1:0
Oct 30, 2024 Serie C - Group B
Sassari Torres vs Perugia
2:1
Feb 18, 2024 Serie C - Group B
Sassari Torres vs Perugia
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Perugia 39 / 100
Sassari Torres 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Perugia Sassari Torres

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Perugia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Perugia's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Sassari Torres has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Perugia stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Perugia VS Sassari Torres
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Perugia

(Home)
31 Oct
Guidonia 1937
1 : 1
Perugia
23 Oct
Perugia
1 : 2
Pescara
18 Oct
Campobasso
1 : 5
Perugia
11 Oct
Perugia
0 : 2
Vado
03 Oct
Gubbio
1 : 3
Perugia
Page 1 of 6

Sassari Torres

(Away)
31 Oct
Pescara
0 : 0
Sassari Torres
25 Oct
Sassari Torres
2 : 0
Guidonia 1937
17 Oct
Reggiana
2 : 0
Sassari Torres
11 Oct
Sassari Torres
2 : 1
Atalanta U23
04 Oct
Campobasso
1 : 1
Sassari Torres
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spezia 12 10 2 0 21:6 32
2 Ravenna 12 8 2 2 22:7 26
3 Grosseto 12 6 5 1 25:15 23
4 Reggiana 12 6 2 4 16:11 20
5 Pescara 12 5 4 3 15:13 19
6 Livorno 12 5 4 3 17:16 19
7 Sassari Torres 12 5 4 3 13:12 19
8 Campobasso 12 5 3 4 18:20 18
9 Guidonia 1937 12 4 5 3 15:13 17
10 Perugia 12 5 2 5 16:18 17
11 Vado 12 4 4 4 14:13 16
12 Latina 12 3 6 3 12:12 15
13 Atalanta U23 12 5 0 7 14:18 15
14 Pineto 12 3 5 4 10:13 14
15 Forli FC 12 2 6 4 16:18 12
16 Sambenedettese 12 2 4 6 16:20 10
17 Pianese 12 1 7 4 7:11 10
18 Ostiamare 12 2 3 7 10:15 9
19 Gubbio 12 2 2 8 10:21 8
20 Vis Pesaro 12 1 2 9 11:26 5
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)