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Pescara vs Spezia

Italy Italy

Serie B 2025/2026 Stadio Adriatico - Giovanni Cornacchia, Pescara
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Faraoni D.
24'
Sub
Valoti M. In: Vignali L.
Out: Valoti M.
33'
Vignali L.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Pescara
35%
Draws
37%
Spezia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Spezia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Pescara at 1.45 per game, Spezia at 1.32.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Serie B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Pescara Clean Sheet 13%
Spezia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pescara Spezia
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 8
Draws 8 8
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.45 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 Serie B
Pescara vs Spezia
1:1
Dec 27, 2025 Serie B
Spezia vs Pescara
2:1
Mar 4, 2020 Serie B
Spezia vs Pescara
2:0
Oct 19, 2019 Serie B
Pescara vs Spezia
1:2
Mar 3, 2019 Serie B
Pescara vs Spezia
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pescara Compare

Top Goalscorer Faraoni D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Spezia Compare

Top Goalscorer Artistico G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pescara 31 / 100
Spezia 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pescara Spezia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spezia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spezia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

Pescara scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Pescara went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pescara VS Spezia
1.38 Goals Scored 2.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Pescara

(Home)
29 Aug
Forli FC
6 : 3
Pescara
22 Aug
Pescara
2 : 0
Vis Pesaro
16 Aug
Pescara
0 : 1
Sambenedettese
02 Aug
Pescara
4 : 2
Lanciano
08 May
Pescara
1 : 1
Spezia
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Spezia

(Away)
29 Aug
Spezia
1 : 0
Campobasso
23 Aug
Grosseto
1 : 1
Spezia
16 Aug
Spezia
4 : 1
Sassari Torres
01 Aug
Empoli
1 : 1
Spezia
08 May
Pescara
1 : 1
Spezia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Venezia 38 24 10 4 77:31 82
2 Frosinone 38 23 12 3 76:34 81
3 Monza 38 22 10 6 61:32 76
4 Palermo 38 20 12 6 61:33 72
5 Catanzaro 38 15 14 9 62:51 59
6 Modena 38 15 10 13 49:36 55
7 Juve Stabia 38 11 18 9 44:45 51
8 Avellino 38 13 10 15 43:55 49
9 Mantova 38 13 7 18 45:57 46
10 Padova 38 12 10 16 39:49 46
11 Cesena 38 12 10 16 45:56 46
12 Carrarese 38 10 14 14 47:52 44
13 Sampdoria 38 11 11 16 35:48 44
14 Entella 38 10 12 16 36:51 42
15 Empoli 38 9 14 15 47:54 41
16 Sudtirol 38 8 17 13 38:48 41
17 Bari 38 10 10 18 38:60 40
18 Reggiana 38 9 10 19 36:56 37
19 Spezia 38 8 11 19 43:59 35
20 Pescara 38 7 14 17 51:66 35
Promotion - Serie A (Main)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Out)