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Pesch vs Siegburger

Germany Germany

Oberliga Mittelrhein 2025/2026
Pesch Logo

Pesch

1 - 3
FT
Siegburger Logo

Siegburger

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Siegburger in this Oberliga Mittelrhein 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Siegburger.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Pesch
15%
Draws
85%
Siegburger
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Siegburger

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Siegburger have won more games recently than Pesch.
  • Siegburger are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Oberliga Mittelrhein 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Pesch Clean Sheet 10%
Siegburger Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pesch Siegburger
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 2 19
Draws 2 5
Losses 26 6
Goals Scored 0.87 2.53
Goals Conceded 3.73 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Siegburger vs Pesch
2:0
Nov 16, 2025 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Pesch vs Siegburger
1:3
May 1, 2025 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Pesch vs Siegburger
2:4
Oct 13, 2024 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Siegburger vs Pesch
0:4
Apr 2, 2023 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Siegburger vs Pesch
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pesch 14 / 100
Siegburger 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pesch Siegburger

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SIE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Defensive concern: Siegburger conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Siegburger lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Pesch's goal record stands at 47% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Pesch VS Siegburger
0 Goals Scored 2.88
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Pesch

(Home)
07 Jun
Pesch
0 : 2
Eintracht Hohkeppel
31 May
Konigsdorf
2 : 0
Pesch
25 May
Pesch
0 : 2
Bornheim
17 May
Siegburger
2 : 0
Pesch
10 May
Pesch
0 : 2
Teutonia Weiden
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Siegburger

(Away)
26 Jul
Rot-Weiss Koblenz
6 : 1
Siegburger
19 Jul
FC Monheim
2 : 3
Siegburger
07 Jun
Merten
5 : 1
Siegburger
31 May
Siegburger
3 : 0
Hennef
25 May
VfL Vichttal
3 : 2
Siegburger
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bergisch Gladbach 30 20 7 3 85:28 67
2 Eintracht Hohkeppel 30 20 4 6 86:36 64
3 Siegburger 30 19 5 6 75:34 62
4 Merten 30 18 6 6 80:28 60
5 VfL Vichttal 30 18 5 7 80:43 59
6 FC Wegberg-Beeck 30 15 6 9 62:35 51
7 Frechen 30 16 2 12 66:54 50
8 Bornheim 30 14 4 12 65:56 46
9 Konigsdorf 30 14 4 12 53:54 46
10 Fortuna Koln II 30 13 6 11 62:47 45
11 1. FC Duren 30 11 5 14 49:59 38
12 Hennef 30 11 2 17 45:66 35
13 SpVg Porz 1919 30 7 4 19 58:99 25
14 Teutonia Weiden 30 4 4 22 25:104 16
15 Sportfreunde Duren 30 4 2 24 41:103 14
16 Pesch 30 2 2 26 26:112 8
Promotion - Regionalliga West (Main)