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Pesch vs Sportfreunde Duren - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Mittelrhein 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sportfreunde Duren in this Oberliga Mittelrhein 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sportfreunde Duren.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Pesch
15%
Draws
85%
Sportfreunde Duren
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sportfreunde Duren

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Pesch haven't matched Sportfreunde Duren's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Pesch's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Sportfreunde Duren here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Pesch Clean Sheet 10%
Sportfreunde Duren Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pesch Sportfreunde Duren
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 2 4
Draws 2 2
Losses 26 24
Goals Scored 0.87 1.37
Goals Conceded 3.73 3.43
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Pesch vs Sportfreunde Duren
0:5
Sep 14, 2025 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Sportfreunde Duren vs Pesch
2:2
Feb 21, 2023 Club Friendly
Sportfreunde Duren vs Pesch
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pesch 83 / 100
Sportfreunde Duren 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pesch Sportfreunde Duren

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pesch Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sportfreunde Duren let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.33 goals per match.

Sportfreunde Duren lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Pesch's goal record stands at 47% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Pesch VS Sportfreunde Duren
0.25 Goals Scored 0.88
2.88 Goals Conceded 3.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Pesch

(Home)
07 Jun
Pesch
0 : 2
Eintracht Hohkeppel
31 May
Konigsdorf
2 : 0
Pesch
25 May
Pesch
0 : 2
Bornheim
17 May
Siegburger
2 : 0
Pesch
10 May
Pesch
0 : 2
Teutonia Weiden
Page 1 of 6

Sportfreunde Duren

(Away)
07 Jun
Sportfreunde Duren
0 : 3
FC Wegberg-Beeck
31 May
Fortuna Koln II
6 : 1
Sportfreunde Duren
25 May
Bergisch Gladbach
7 : 1
Sportfreunde Duren
17 May
Sportfreunde Duren
1 : 3
Eintracht Hohkeppel
10 May
Frechen
2 : 0
Sportfreunde Duren
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bergisch Gladbach 30 20 7 3 85:28 67
2 Eintracht Hohkeppel 30 20 4 6 86:36 64
3 Siegburger 30 19 5 6 75:34 62
4 Merten 30 18 6 6 80:28 60
5 VfL Vichttal 30 18 5 7 80:43 59
6 FC Wegberg-Beeck 30 15 6 9 62:35 51
7 Frechen 30 16 2 12 66:54 50
8 Bornheim 30 14 4 12 65:56 46
9 Konigsdorf 30 14 4 12 53:54 46
10 Fortuna Koln II 30 13 6 11 62:47 45
11 1. FC Duren 30 11 5 14 49:59 38
12 Hennef 30 11 2 17 45:66 35
13 SpVg Porz 1919 30 7 4 19 58:99 25
14 Teutonia Weiden 30 4 4 22 25:104 16
15 Sportfreunde Duren 30 4 2 24 41:103 14
16 Pesch 30 2 2 26 26:112 8
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