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Pesch vs Sportfreunde Duren

Germany Germany

Oberliga Mittelrhein
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pesch play Sportfreunde Duren in the Oberliga Mittelrhein. Sportfreunde Duren are favorites here. Recently, Pesch averaged 0.25 goals scored and 2.88 conceded. Sportfreunde Duren averaged 0.88 goals scored and 3.88 conceded. In past meetings, Pesch won 0, Sportfreunde Duren won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 8, 2026 ended 0:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.06 for Pesch and 1.88 for Sportfreunde Duren. This points to a Sportfreunde Duren double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Pesch
6%
Draws
4%
Sportfreunde Duren
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Pesch

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Sportfreunde Duren has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Pesch.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Pesch.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Oberliga Mittelrhein provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Pesch Clean Sheet 10%
Sportfreunde Duren Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pesch Sportfreunde Duren
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 2 4
Draws 2 2
Losses 26 24
Goals Scored 0.25 0.88
Goals Conceded 2.88 3.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.88 3.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Pesch vs Sportfreunde Duren
0:5
Sep 14, 2025 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Sportfreunde Duren vs Pesch
2:2
Feb 21, 2023 Club Friendly
Sportfreunde Duren vs Pesch
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pesch 83 / 100
Sportfreunde Duren 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pesch Sportfreunde Duren

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PES Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pesch scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

Sportfreunde Duren let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.33 goals.

Pesch went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Sportfreunde Duren lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pesch VS Sportfreunde Duren
0.25 Goals Scored 0.88
2.88 Goals Conceded 3.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 88%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bergisch Gladbach30207385:2867
2Eintracht Hohkeppel30204686:3664
3Siegburger30195675:3462
4Merten30186680:2860
5VfL Vichttal30185780:4359
6FC Wegberg-Beeck30156962:3551
7Frechen301621266:5450
8Bornheim301441265:5646
9Konigsdorf301441253:5446
10Fortuna Koln II301361162:4745
111. FC Duren301151449:5938
12Hennef301121745:6635
13SpVg Porz 191930741958:9925
14Teutonia Weiden30442225:10416
15Sportfreunde Duren30422441:10314
16Pesch30222626:1128