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Pesnica vs Smarje - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - North 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pesnica in this 3. SNL - North 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pesnica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Pesnica
15%
Draws
85%
Smarje
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Smarje

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pesnica lately — more wins on the board than Smarje.
  • Win probability leans Pesnica's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular 3. SNL - North 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Pesnica Clean Sheet 13%
Smarje Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pesnica Smarje
Matches Played 32 33
Wins 9 6
Draws 4 4
Losses 19 23
Goals Scored 1.09 0.97
Goals Conceded 2.34 2.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2018 3. SNL - North
Pesnica vs Smarje
3:0
Sep 8, 2017 3. SNL - North
Smarje vs Pesnica
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pesnica 84 / 100
Smarje 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pesnica Smarje

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pesnica Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Smarje let in goals in 88% of their last 33 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Smarje registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Pesnica scored in 53% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pesnica VS Smarje
0 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Pesnica

(Home)
18 Sept
Race
2 : 0
Pesnica
14 Aug
Pesnica
1 : 5
ND Gorica
01 Jun
Pesnica
2 : 4
NK Smartno
25 May
Dravinja
3 : 0
Pesnica
18 May
Pesnica
0 : 4
Zrece
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Smarje

(Away)
31 Oct
Smarje
1 : 4
Rogaska
28 May
Zavrc
12 : 0
Smarje
21 May
Smarje
1 : 4
Sampion Celje
14 May
Bistrica
12 : 1
Smarje
07 May
Smarje
3 : 1
Posavje Krsko
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dravograd 26 18 7 1 66:18 61
2 Sampion Celje 26 17 8 1 60:19 59
3 Dravinja 26 13 7 6 49:27 46
4 Pesnica 26 13 6 7 39:30 45
5 Bistrica 26 11 8 7 40:32 41
6 Zrece 26 12 4 10 58:37 40
7 SD Videm 26 10 5 11 38:43 35
8 Pohorje 26 10 5 11 41:50 35
9 Mons Claudius 26 7 10 9 32:43 31
10 Dobrovce 26 8 4 14 36:45 28
11 Sentjur 26 7 3 16 34:65 24
12 Korotan Prevalje 26 7 2 17 35:43 23
13 Lenart 26 7 2 17 30:64 23
14 Smarje 26 6 1 19 26:68 19
Promotion - 3. SNL - Promotion Play Offs 2017/2018 (Promotion - Play Offs)