Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Petapa vs Suchitepequez

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional 2017/2018
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Pereira J.
46' Event
Arce O.
64' Event
Valenzuela J.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional 2017/2018 game between Petapa and Suchitepequez finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Suchitepequez.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Petapa
20%
Draws
80%
Suchitepequez
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Suchitepequez

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Suchitepequez carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Suchitepequez a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Petapa Clean Sheet 10%
Suchitepequez Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Petapa Suchitepequez
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 5 8
Draws 4 6
Losses 23 15
Goals Scored 0.78 1.14
Goals Conceded 2.31 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.98
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2018 Liga Nacional
Petapa vs Suchitepequez
2:3
Jan 21, 2018 Liga Nacional
Suchitepequez vs Petapa
2:3
Nov 12, 2017 Liga Nacional
Suchitepequez vs Petapa
1:3
Sep 7, 2017 Liga Nacional
Petapa vs Suchitepequez
3:0
Apr 30, 2017 Liga Nacional
Suchitepequez vs Petapa
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Petapa Compare

Top Goalscorer Pereira J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Valenzuela J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Suchitepequez Compare

Top Goalscorer Arce O.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Reyes L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.8
Avg xA / game 1.1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Petapa 10 / 100
Suchitepequez 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Petapa Suchitepequez

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Suchitepequez Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Suchitepequez's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Away concern: Suchitepequez has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Petapa's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Petapa VS Suchitepequez
0.5 Goals Scored 0.33
3.63 Goals Conceded 1.33
100% Over 1.5 67%
75% Over 2.5 33%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Petapa

(Home)
05 May
Petapa
0 : 3
Siquinala
02 May
Comunicaciones
5 : 0
Petapa
27 Apr
Petapa
1 : 2
Malacateco
24 Apr
Sanarate
4 : 1
Petapa
19 Apr
Petapa
1 : 2
Deportivo Chiantla
Page 1 of 7

Suchitepequez

(Away)
16 Aug
Suchitepequez
1 : 2
Marquense
09 Aug
Deportivo San Pedro
3 : 0
Suchitepequez
01 Aug
Deportivo Mixco
2 : 0
Suchitepequez
26 Jul
Suchitepequez
0 : 0
Comunicaciones
18 Jul
Suchitepequez
1 : 1
Malacateco
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sanarate 22 11 7 4 29:14 40
2 Coban Imperial 22 12 3 7 32:21 39
3 Guastatoya 22 11 5 6 27:18 38
4 Antigua 22 11 4 7 42:34 37
5 Xelaju 22 9 4 9 31:31 31
6 Siquinala 22 8 7 7 20:22 31
7 Comunicaciones 22 8 5 9 22:26 29
8 Petapa 22 9 2 11 27:33 29
9 Municipal 22 8 4 10 34:28 28
10 Suchitepequez 22 7 4 11 29:36 25
11 Malacateco 22 7 4 11 25:32 25
12 Marquense 22 4 5 13 16:39 17
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2017/2018 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2017/2018 (Clausura - Play Offs)