Sport Picks
Peterhead vs Elgin City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Scotland
Challenge Cup Balmoor, Peterhead 
Match Events
22'
22'
Dingwall R.
Assist: Gallagher M.
90'
90'
Girvan K.
90'
90'
Girvan K.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 0-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
21%
15%
64%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Elgin City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Peterhead carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Elgin City's way, sitting at 50%.
- Peterhead have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Elgin City, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Peterhead Clean Sheet 10%
Elgin City Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Peterhead | Elgin City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 32 |
| Wins | 17 | 14 |
| Draws | 2 | 7 |
| Losses | 13 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.72 | 2.06 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 26, 2026 Challenge Cup
Peterhead vs Elgin City
0:1
Jul 14, 2026 League Cup
Elgin City vs Peterhead
1:3
Sep 23, 2025 Challenge Cup
Peterhead vs Elgin City
1:1
Apr 19, 2025 League Two
Elgin City vs Peterhead
4:0
Mar 1, 2025 League Two
Peterhead vs Elgin City
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Peterhead Compare
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Elgin City Compare
Top Goalscorer Dingwall R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Peterhead 22 / 100
Elgin City 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Peterhead Elgin City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Elgin City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 4:5
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Peterhead scored in 75% of their last 32 games.
Defensive concern: Elgin City conceded in 69% of 32 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Peterhead went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Peterhead VS Elgin City
1 Goals Scored 2.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Peterhead
(Home) 03 Oct
Hamilton
2 : 1 Peterhead
26 Sept
Peterhead
0 : 1 Elgin City
22 Sept
Forfar Athletic
0 : 2 Peterhead
19 Sept
Peterhead
1 : 2 Airdrieonians
12 Sept
East Kilbride
3 : 1 Peterhead
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
Peterhead
0 : 1 Elgin City
19 Sept
Peterhead
1 : 2 Airdrieonians
08 Sept
Peterhead
2 : 1 Clachnacuddin
05 Sept
Peterhead
0 : 3 Montrose
25 Aug
Peterhead
2 : 1 Dundee FC B
Page 1 of 4
Elgin City
(Away) 03 Oct
Elgin City
6 : 2 Clyde
26 Sept
Peterhead
0 : 1 Elgin City
22 Sept
Elgin City
3 : 0 Dundee FC B
19 Sept
Elgin City
1 : 5 Stranraer
12 Sept
Annan
2 : 0 Elgin City
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
Peterhead
0 : 1 Elgin City
12 Sept
Annan
2 : 0 Elgin City
05 Sept
Dumbarton
2 : 1 Elgin City
25 Aug
Clachnacuddin
0 : 2 Elgin City
22 Aug
Spartans
3 : 3 Elgin City
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clydebank FC | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13:4 | 13 |
| 2 | Ross County | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 28:6 | 12 |
| 3 | Airdrieonians | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 18:6 | 12 |
| 4 | Elgin City | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14:2 | 12 |
| 5 | Cove Rangers | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 17:6 | 12 |
| 6 | Peterhead | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11:4 | 12 |
| 7 | Alloa | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12:5 | 11 |
| 8 | Queen of the South | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11:4 | 11 |
| 9 | East Kilbride | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 17:12 | 10 |
| 10 | Stirling | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14:10 | 10 |
| 11 | Edinburgh City | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 10 |
| 12 | St. Mirren B | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14:8 | 9 |
| 13 | Hamilton | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9:4 | 9 |
| 14 | Montrose | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11:7 | 9 |
| 15 | Celtic B | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 15:12 | 9 |
| 16 | Formartine Utd | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11:8 | 9 |
| 17 | Kelty Hearts | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14:13 | 9 |
| 18 | Bonnyrigg Rose | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 19 | Hearts B | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15:26 | 9 |
| 20 | Annan | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:5 | 8 |
| 21 | Spartans | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:6 | 8 |
| 22 | Aberdeen B | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 7 |
| 23 | East Fife | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12:11 | 7 |
| 24 | Forfar Athletic | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | 7 |
| 25 | Berwick | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 26 | Dumbarton | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 27 | Stranraer | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13:12 | 6 |
| 28 | Rangers B | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11:10 | 6 |
| 29 | Clachnacuddin | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10:12 | 4 |
| 30 | Kilmarnock B | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8:13 | 4 |
| 31 | Banks O' Dee | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:14 | 4 |
| 32 | Fraserburgh | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:18 | 4 |
| 33 | Clyde | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6:14 | 3 |
| 34 | Dundee Utd B | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:12 | 3 |
| 35 | Cumbernauld Colts | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4:13 | 2 |
| 36 | Gala Fairydean Rovers | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:15 | 2 |
| 37 | Cowdenbeath | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4:12 | 0 |
| 38 | Dundee FC B | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4:13 | 0 |
| 39 | Hibernian B | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2:12 | 0 |
| 40 | Motherwell B | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4:18 | 0 |
Promotion - Challenge Cup (Play Offs)
