Sport Picks

Scotland

League Cup Balmoor, Peterhead

Peterhead

Sat, Jul 25, 2026

1 - 0

02:00 PM

Kilmarnock

Our Tip

Match Events

39'

Kerr J.

53'

Sub

Bowie E. In: Lowery T.

Out: Bowie E.

53'

Sub

Rice B. In: Tshibola A.

Out: Rice B.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%

Peterhead

15%

Draws

34%

Kilmarnock

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Peterhead

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence

Peterhead haven't matched Kilmarnock's recent run of results.
51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Kilmarnock arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Kilmarnock, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%

Peterhead Clean Sheet 20%

Kilmarnock Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Peterhead	Kilmarnock
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	13	14
Draws	4	3
Losses	11	12
Goals Scored	1.5	1.76
Goals Conceded	1.18	1.76
Expected Goals (xG)	1.44	0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 League Cup

Peterhead vs Kilmarnock

1:0

Aug 28, 2007 League Cup

Peterhead vs Kilmarnock

0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Peterhead 31 / 100

Kilmarnock 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Peterhead Kilmarnock

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Peterhead Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Peterhead scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Kilmarnock let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Peterhead remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Peterhead VS Kilmarnock

1.38 Goals Scored 1.25

0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5

38% Over 1.5 38%

38% Over 2.5 38%

25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Peterhead

(Home)

22 Aug

Cove Rangers

3 : 0

Peterhead

15 Aug

Peterhead

2 : 1

East Fife

11 Aug

Banks O' Dee

1 : 5

Peterhead

08 Aug

Queen of the South

0 : 1

Peterhead

01 Aug

Peterhead

0 : 1

Ross County

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Kilmarnock

(Away)

14 Aug

Kilmarnock

3 : 2

Ayr

09 Aug

Kilmarnock

1 : 5

Celtic

02 Aug

St Johnstone

4 : 3

Kilmarnock

25 Jul

Peterhead

1 : 0

Kilmarnock

21 Jul

Kilmarnock

1 : 0

Hamilton

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