Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Petrikov vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

Belarus Belarus

Pershaya Liga 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Ageev A.
17' Event
Kontsedailov A.
26'
Sotnikov N.

AI Match Summary

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk in this Pershaya Liga 2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arsenal Dzerzhinsk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Petrikov
20%
Draws
32%
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Petrikov

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Petrikov haven't matched Arsenal Dzerzhinsk's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Petrikov's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Pershaya Liga 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Arsenal Dzerzhinsk here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Petrikov Clean Sheet 20%
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Petrikov Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 11
Draws 4 8
Losses 20 13
Goals Scored 1.03 1.28
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2023 Pershaya Liga
Petrikov vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
0:1
Apr 2, 2023 Pershaya Liga
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk vs Petrikov
5:1
Mar 12, 2022 Club Friendly
Petrikov vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
0:0
Sep 19, 2021 Pershaya Liga
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk vs Petrikov
4:0
Jul 3, 2021 Pershaya Liga
Petrikov vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Petrikov Compare

Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Kontsedailov A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Petrikov 49 / 100
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Petrikov Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Petrikov Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Petrikov's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk has conceded goals in 72% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Arsenal Dzerzhinsk has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Petrikov

(Home)
25 Nov
FK Lida
3 : 1
Petrikov
18 Nov
Petrikov
0 : 1
Dnepr Mogilev
12 Nov
Niva Dolbizno
1 : 3
Petrikov
05 Nov
Petrikov
1 : 5
Zhodino Yuzhnoe
28 Oct
Vitebsk
2 : 1
Petrikov
Page 1 of 6

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

(Away)
18 Sept
ML Vitebsk
5 : 1
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
12 Sept
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
0 : 0
FK Baranovici
07 Sept
Isloch Minsk
1 : 1
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
30 Aug
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
2 : 4
Zhodino
22 Aug
Belshina
2 : 0
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 32 26 3 3 86:30 81
2 Dnepr Mogilev 32 22 7 3 75:24 73
3 Vitebsk 32 23 4 5 68:22 73
4 Lokomotiv Gomel 32 19 5 8 55:40 62
5 ML Vitebsk 32 19 4 9 84:52 61
6 FK Baranovici 32 14 6 12 46:49 48
7 Zhodino Yuzhnoe 32 13 7 12 62:52 46
8 Volna Pinsk 32 12 7 13 41:49 43
9 Niva Dolbizno 32 12 5 15 53:66 41
10 FK Lida 32 12 5 15 44:48 41
11 Molodechno 32 11 8 13 51:56 41
12 Ostrovets 32 10 9 13 54:62 39
13 BumProm Gomel 32 10 8 14 45:62 38
14 Orsha 32 8 7 17 50:62 31
15 FC Slonim 32 5 7 20 26:63 22
16 Petrikov 32 6 4 22 33:72 22
17 Osipovichi 32 1 2 29 21:85 5
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga 2023 (Main)
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga 2023 (Relegation)