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Petrikov vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

Belarus Belarus

Pershaya Liga 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Petrikov play Arsenal Dzerzhinsk in the Pershaya Liga 2023. Arsenal Dzerzhinsk are favorites here. Recently, Petrikov averaged 1.03 goals scored and 2.17 conceded. Arsenal Dzerzhinsk averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.43 conceded. In past meetings, Petrikov won 0, Arsenal Dzerzhinsk won 4, and they drew 1. Their last match on Aug 12, 2023 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Petrikov and 1.43 for Arsenal Dzerzhinsk. This points to a Arsenal Dzerzhinsk double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Petrikov
18%
Draws
58%
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Petrikov picked up more points recently compared to Arsenal Dzerzhinsk.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 1.43 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Petrikov Clean Sheet 17%
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Petrikov Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 13
Draws 4 6
Losses 20 11
Goals Scored 1.03 1.23
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.43

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2023 Pershaya Liga
Petrikov vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
0:1
Apr 2, 2023 Pershaya Liga
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk vs Petrikov
5:1
Mar 12, 2022 Club Friendly
Petrikov vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
0:0
Sep 19, 2021 Pershaya Liga
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk vs Petrikov
4:0
Jul 3, 2021 Pershaya Liga
Petrikov vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Petrikov Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Kontsedailov A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Petrikov 25 / 100
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 55 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Petrikov Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Arsenal Dzerzhinsk & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +50%
6.25
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.8%
2.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Petrikov attacking → ← attacking Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Petrikov scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Petrikov went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

22 Points in last 5 45
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Arsenal Dzerzhinsk32263386:3081
2Dnepr Mogilev32227375:2473
3Vitebsk32234568:2273
4Lokomotiv Gomel32195855:4062
5ML Vitebsk32194984:5261
6FK Baranovici321461246:4948
7Zhodino Yuzhnoe321371262:5246
8Volna Pinsk321271341:4943
9Niva Dolbizno321251553:6641
10FK Lida321251544:4841
11Molodechno321181351:5641
12Ostrovets321091354:6239
13BumProm Gomel321081445:6238
14Orsha32871750:6231
15FC Slonim32572026:6322
16Petrikov32642233:7222
17Osipovichi32122921:855