Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Petrikov vs Orsha

Belarus Belarus

Pershaya Liga 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Sotnikov N.
20' Event
Grivenev E.
46' Event
Lafishev R.

AI Match Summary

Petrikov in this Pershaya Liga 2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Petrikov.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Petrikov
15%
Draws
49%
Orsha
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Orsha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Orsha have won more games recently than Petrikov.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Pershaya Liga 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Petrikov Clean Sheet 19%
Orsha Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Petrikov Orsha
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 10
Draws 4 5
Losses 20 15
Goals Scored 1.03 1.37
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2023 Pershaya Liga
Petrikov vs Orsha
2:1
Jun 3, 2023 Pershaya Liga
Orsha vs Petrikov
3:2
Aug 28, 2022 Pershaya Liga
Petrikov vs Orsha
6:0
Apr 23, 2022 Pershaya Liga
Orsha vs Petrikov
1:9
Oct 10, 2021 Pershaya Liga
Orsha vs Petrikov
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Petrikov Compare

Top Goalscorer Sotnikov N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Grivenev E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Orsha Compare

Top Goalscorer Lafishev R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Petrikov 31 / 100
Orsha 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Petrikov Orsha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Petrikov Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Orsha has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.80 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Petrikov scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Difficult form: Orsha registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Orsha
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Petrikov

(Home)
25 Nov
FK Lida
3 : 1
Petrikov
18 Nov
Petrikov
0 : 1
Dnepr Mogilev
12 Nov
Niva Dolbizno
1 : 3
Petrikov
05 Nov
Petrikov
1 : 5
Zhodino Yuzhnoe
28 Oct
Vitebsk
2 : 1
Petrikov
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Orsha

(Away)
19 Sept
Orsha
0 : 3
Slutsk
11 Sept
Din. Minsk 2
0 : 0
Orsha
06 Sept
Orsha
2 : 3
Ostrovets
30 Aug
FC Slonim
1 : 2
Orsha
26 Aug
Orsha
1 : 4
Din. Minsk 2
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 32 26 3 3 86:30 81
2 Dnepr Mogilev 32 22 7 3 75:24 73
3 Vitebsk 32 23 4 5 68:22 73
4 Lokomotiv Gomel 32 19 5 8 55:40 62
5 ML Vitebsk 32 19 4 9 84:52 61
6 FK Baranovici 32 14 6 12 46:49 48
7 Zhodino Yuzhnoe 32 13 7 12 62:52 46
8 Volna Pinsk 32 12 7 13 41:49 43
9 Niva Dolbizno 32 12 5 15 53:66 41
10 FK Lida 32 12 5 15 44:48 41
11 Molodechno 32 11 8 13 51:56 41
12 Ostrovets 32 10 9 13 54:62 39
13 BumProm Gomel 32 10 8 14 45:62 38
14 Orsha 32 8 7 17 50:62 31
15 FC Slonim 32 5 7 20 26:63 22
16 Petrikov 32 6 4 22 33:72 22
17 Osipovichi 32 1 2 29 21:85 5
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga 2023 (Main)
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga 2023 (Relegation)