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Petrolul Potcoava vs Cetatea Turnu Magurele

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 4 2024/2025
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AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 - Seria 4 2024/2025 game between Petrolul Potcoava and Cetatea Turnu Magurele finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Petrolul Potcoava.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Petrolul Potcoava
39%
Draws
31%
Cetatea Turnu Magurele
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cetatea Turnu Magurele come out ahead of Petrolul Potcoava on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Petrolul Potcoava Clean Sheet 18%
Cetatea Turnu Magurele Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Petrolul Potcoava Cetatea Turnu Magurele
Matches Played 30 40
Wins 8 23
Draws 7 8
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 0 1.63
Goals Conceded 0 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 4
Petrolul Potcoava vs Cetatea Turnu Magurele
1:0
Apr 4, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 4
Cetatea Turnu Magurele vs Petrolul Potcoava
3:2
Nov 22, 2024 Liga 3 - Seria 4
Petrolul Potcoava vs Cetatea Turnu Magurele
0:2
Sep 20, 2024 Liga 3 - Seria 4
Cetatea Turnu Magurele vs Petrolul Potcoava
1:1
Nov 17, 2023 Liga 3 - Seria 6
Cetatea Turnu Magurele vs Petrolul Potcoava
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Petrolul Potcoava 31 / 100
Cetatea Turnu Magurele 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Petrolul Potcoava Cetatea Turnu Magurele

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PET Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cetatea Turnu Magurele let in goals in 75% of their last 40 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Cetatea Turnu Magurele registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Petrolul Potcoava found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Cetatea Turnu Magurele
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%