Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pevidem vs Atletico Arcos

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Costa Lopes P. M.
36' Event
Gomes H.
54' Event
Pacheco J.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 game between Pevidem and Atletico Arcos finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico Arcos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Pevidem
20%
Draws
16%
Atletico Arcos
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pevidem

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pevidem come out ahead of Atletico Arcos on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Pevidem's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Pevidem Clean Sheet 68%
Atletico Arcos Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pevidem Atletico Arcos
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 7
Draws 8 6
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 0.87 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Pevidem vs Atletico Arcos
1:3
Nov 2, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Atletico Arcos vs Pevidem
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pevidem Compare

Top Goalscorer Costa Lopes P. M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Atletico Arcos Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomes H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pacheco J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pevidem 77 / 100
Atletico Arcos 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pevidem Atletico Arcos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pevidem Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Arcos's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Pevidem's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Atletico Arcos lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pevidem VS Atletico Arcos
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pevidem

(Home)
30 Aug
Celoricense
1 : 0
Pevidem
13 Apr
Rebordosa
2 : 1
Pevidem
06 Apr
Pevidem
2 : 0
Os Sandinenses
30 Mar
Paredes
4 : 0
Pevidem
15 Mar
Pevidem
1 : 1
AD Limianos
Page 1 of 6

Atletico Arcos

(Away)
30 Aug
Merelinense
2 : 0
Atletico Arcos
13 Apr
Paredes
1 : 1
Atletico Arcos
05 Apr
Atletico Arcos
1 : 3
AD Limianos
29 Mar
Dumiense
3 : 2
Atletico Arcos
16 Mar
Brito
3 : 1
Atletico Arcos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria Guimaraes B 26 17 5 4 45:21 56
2 Paredes 26 16 4 6 51:21 52
3 GD Braganca 26 12 8 6 37:28 44
4 Rebordosa 26 12 6 8 39:25 42
5 Brito 26 12 4 10 41:40 40
6 SC Vianense 26 11 3 12 31:37 36
7 Tirsense 26 10 5 11 39:35 35
8 SC Vila Real 26 10 5 11 30:32 35
9 AD Limianos 26 8 10 8 37:36 34
10 GD Joane 26 7 7 12 26:38 28
11 Pevidem 26 7 7 12 23:34 28
12 Os Sandinenses 26 7 7 12 30:41 28
13 Dumiense 26 6 6 14 25:52 23
14 Atletico Arcos 26 6 5 15 24:38 23
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)