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Pevidem vs Dumiense

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Costa L.
86' Event
Pereira L.
90'
Silva L.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 game between Pevidem and Dumiense finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Pevidem
35%
Draws
32%
Dumiense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Dumiense's 1.07 goals per match outpaces what Pevidem have produced (0.9).
  • Win probability leans Pevidem's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Pevidem Clean Sheet 16%
Dumiense Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pevidem Dumiense
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 8
Draws 8 6
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 0.9 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Dumiense vs Pevidem
0:0
Nov 9, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Pevidem vs Dumiense
1:1
Feb 18, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Dumiense vs Pevidem
1:2
Oct 28, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Pevidem vs Dumiense
2:1
Jan 21, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Pevidem vs Dumiense
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pevidem Compare

Top Goalscorer Pereira L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Dumiense Compare

Top Goalscorer Costa L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pevidem 57 / 100
Dumiense 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pevidem Dumiense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pevidem Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dumiense has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Pevidem scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Pevidem went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pevidem VS Dumiense
0.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pevidem

(Home)
13 Apr
Rebordosa
2 : 1
Pevidem
06 Apr
Pevidem
2 : 0
Os Sandinenses
30 Mar
Paredes
4 : 0
Pevidem
15 Mar
Pevidem
1 : 1
AD Limianos
09 Mar
Dumiense
0 : 0
Pevidem
Page 1 of 6

Dumiense

(Away)
13 Apr
AD Limianos
2 : 2
Dumiense
06 Apr
Dumiense
1 : 5
Brito
29 Mar
Dumiense
3 : 2
Atletico Arcos
16 Mar
Tirsense
4 : 1
Dumiense
09 Mar
Dumiense
0 : 0
Pevidem
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria Guimaraes B 26 17 5 4 45:21 56
2 Paredes 26 16 4 6 51:21 52
3 GD Braganca 26 12 8 6 37:28 44
4 Rebordosa 26 12 6 8 39:25 42
5 Brito 26 12 4 10 41:40 40
6 SC Vianense 26 11 3 12 31:37 36
7 Tirsense 26 10 5 11 39:35 35
8 SC Vila Real 26 10 5 11 30:32 35
9 AD Limianos 26 8 10 8 37:36 34
10 GD Joane 26 7 7 12 26:38 28
11 Pevidem 26 7 7 12 23:34 28
12 Os Sandinenses 26 7 7 12 30:41 28
13 Dumiense 26 6 6 14 25:52 23
14 Atletico Arcos 26 6 5 15 24:38 23
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)