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Pevidem vs Maria de Fonte - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023
Pevidem Logo

Pevidem

1 - 0
FT
Maria de Fonte Logo

Maria de Fonte

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Pevidem in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pevidem.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Pevidem
15%
Draws
36%
Maria de Fonte
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pevidem

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Maria de Fonte average 1.03 goals a game right now, well clear of Pevidem's 0.91.
  • Pevidem are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Pevidem Clean Sheet 68%
Maria de Fonte Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pevidem Maria de Fonte
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 9 9
Draws 8 3
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 0.91 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.31 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Pevidem vs Maria de Fonte
1:0
Jan 8, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Maria de Fonte vs Pevidem
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pevidem 77 / 100
Maria de Fonte 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pevidem Maria de Fonte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pevidem Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Maria de Fonte conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Pevidem scored in 66% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Maria de Fonte registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pevidem VS Maria de Fonte
0.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pevidem

(Home)
30 Aug
Celoricense
1 : 0
Pevidem
13 Apr
Rebordosa
2 : 1
Pevidem
06 Apr
Pevidem
2 : 0
Os Sandinenses
30 Mar
Paredes
4 : 0
Pevidem
15 Mar
Pevidem
1 : 1
AD Limianos
Page 1 of 7

Maria de Fonte

(Away)
20 Sept
Paredes
5 : 1
Maria de Fonte
13 Sept
Maria de Fonte
0 : 4
Braga B
06 Sept
Brito
2 : 1
Maria de Fonte
30 Aug
Maria de Fonte
1 : 0
Uniao Nogueirense
23 Aug
Maria de Fonte
0 : 1
Celoricense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Vianense 26 16 5 5 37:19 53
2 Amarante FC 26 14 9 3 43:25 51
3 Tirsense 26 14 2 10 39:25 44
4 Pevidem 26 13 4 9 37:30 43
5 Vila Mea 26 11 6 9 39:30 39
6 Vilar de Perdizes 26 8 12 6 33:32 36
7 Brito 26 9 8 9 21:28 35
8 Dumiense 26 9 7 10 34:35 34
9 Merelinense 26 8 9 9 32:32 33
10 Pedras Salgadas 26 8 8 10 27:28 32
11 Desportivo Moncao 26 7 6 13 34:45 27
12 Maria de Fonte 26 6 7 13 27:45 25
13 Sao Martinho 26 5 9 12 24:34 24
14 GD Braganca 26 5 6 15 20:39 21
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)