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PFC Sochi vs Aktobe

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Ignatov M.
35' Event
Zinkovskiy A.
80' Event
Ignatov M.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between PFC Sochi and Aktobe finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward PFC Sochi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
PFC Sochi
20%
Draws
47%
Aktobe
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aktobe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • PFC Sochi's 1.57 goals per match outpaces what Aktobe have produced (1.5).
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
PFC Sochi Clean Sheet 18%
Aktobe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PFC Sochi Aktobe
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 14
Draws 4 6
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.57 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Club Friendly
PFC Sochi vs Aktobe
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

PFC Sochi Compare

Top Goalscorer Ignatov M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Zinkovskiy A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Aktobe Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PFC Sochi 32 / 100
Aktobe 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PFC Sochi Aktobe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PFC Sochi found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Aktobe let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: PFC Sochi remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

PFC Sochi VS Aktobe
2 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

PFC Sochi

(Home)
18 Sept
PFC Sochi
1 : 1
SKA Khabarovsk
14 Sept
Veles Moscow
1 : 2
PFC Sochi
09 Sept
Dynamo Petersburg
2 : 0
PFC Sochi
05 Sept
PFC Sochi
0 : 1
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
30 Aug
PFC Sochi
2 : 1
Chelyabinsk
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Aktobe

(Away)
18 Sept
Aktobe
2 : 2
Ulytau
12 Sept
Kaspij Aktau
1 : 2
Aktobe
05 Sept
Aktobe
1 : 0
Zhenis
30 Aug
Ertis Pavlodar
2 : 1
Aktobe
15 Aug
Kaisar Kyzylorda
1 : 2
Aktobe
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