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PFC Sochi vs Dynamo Makhachkala

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Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

PFC Sochi play Dynamo Makhachkala in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, PFC Sochi averaged 1.59 goals scored and 1.85 conceded. Dynamo Makhachkala averaged 1.31 goals scored and 0.83 conceded. In past meetings, PFC Sochi won 0, Dynamo Makhachkala won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Feb 12, 2026 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for PFC Sochi and 1.44 for Dynamo Makhachkala. This points to a Dynamo Makhachkala double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
PFC Sochi
32%
Draws
39%
Dynamo Makhachkala
Draw rate projection: 32% Favored: Dynamo Makhachkala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • PFC Sochi picked up more points recently compared to Dynamo Makhachkala.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
PFC Sochi Clean Sheet 16%
Dynamo Makhachkala Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PFC Sochi Dynamo Makhachkala
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 9 13
Draws 7 7
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.59 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.85 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 12, 2026 Club Friendly
PFC Sochi vs Dynamo Makhachkala
0:3
Dec 1, 2025 Premier League
PFC Sochi vs Dynamo Makhachkala
0:0
Sep 28, 2025 Premier League
Dynamo Makhachkala vs PFC Sochi
0:0
Nov 27, 2024 Russian Cup
PFC Sochi vs Dynamo Makhachkala
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PFC Sochi 29 / 100
Dynamo Makhachkala 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PFC Sochi Dynamo Makhachkala

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Dynamo Makhachkala or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +38%
4.76
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.7%
1.96
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

PFC Sochi attacking → ← attacking Dynamo Makhachkala

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PFC Sochi scored in 78% of their last 27 games.

Dynamo Makhachkala let in goals in 52% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

PFC Sochi went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Dynamo Makhachkala lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 46
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88