Sport Picks

Stadium Background

PFC Sochi vs S. Kostroma

Russia Russia

FNL Fisht Olympic Stadium, Sochi
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Kalmykov A.
24' Event
Kalmykov A.
39'
Litvinov V.

AI Match Summary

S. Kostroma in this FNL matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored S. Kostroma.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
PFC Sochi
15%
Draws
58%
S. Kostroma
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: S. Kostroma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • S. Kostroma haven't matched PFC Sochi's recent run of results.
  • Model gives S. Kostroma a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
PFC Sochi Clean Sheet 18%
S. Kostroma Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PFC Sochi S. Kostroma
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 11
Draws 4 11
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.57 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2026 FNL
PFC Sochi vs S. Kostroma
0:2
Oct 30, 2024 Russian Cup
PFC Sochi vs S. Kostroma
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

PFC Sochi Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

S. Kostroma Compare

Top Goalscorer Kalmykov A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PFC Sochi 23 / 100
S. Kostroma 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PFC Sochi S. Kostroma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick S. Kostroma Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

PFC Sochi scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

S. Kostroma has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

PFC Sochi has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

PFC Sochi VS S. Kostroma
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

PFC Sochi

(Home)
18 Sept
PFC Sochi
1 : 1
SKA Khabarovsk
14 Sept
Veles Moscow
1 : 2
PFC Sochi
09 Sept
Dynamo Petersburg
2 : 0
PFC Sochi
05 Sept
PFC Sochi
0 : 1
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
30 Aug
PFC Sochi
2 : 1
Chelyabinsk
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S. Kostroma

(Away)
18 Sept
Ulyanovsk
0 : 1
S. Kostroma
14 Sept
S. Kostroma
1 : 0
Neftekhimik
08 Sept
Ryazan
0 : 2
S. Kostroma
05 Sept
Chelyabinsk
0 : 1
S. Kostroma
31 Aug
S. Kostroma
1 : 0
R. Volgograd
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod 12 10 1 1 36:14 31
2 S. Kostroma 11 7 3 1 15:8 24
3 PFC Sochi 12 7 2 3 21:14 23
4 Veles Moscow 12 7 2 3 16:14 23
5 Ural 11 6 4 1 18:5 22
6 Torpedo Moscow 11 6 2 3 21:9 20
7 R. Volgograd 12 5 2 5 20:14 17
8 Ufa 11 4 5 2 16:13 17
9 Shinnik Yaroslavl 11 3 6 2 15:13 15
10 Yenisey 11 3 4 4 14:19 13
11 Arsenal Tula 12 3 4 5 12:22 13
12 Neftekhimik 12 4 0 8 7:15 12
13 Chelyabinsk 11 3 2 6 12:18 11
14 Ulyanovsk 11 3 2 6 14:17 11
15 Leningradets 11 2 4 5 9:20 10
16 Kamaz 12 2 3 7 11:19 9
17 Tekstilshtik 12 1 4 7 8:19 7
18 SKA Khabarovsk 11 1 2 8 11:23 5
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)